Scottish Championship Gameweek 7
Oct 25, 2022 7.45pm
4
2
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Logan Chalmers 16' goal
  • Darren Brownlie 39' goal
  • Josh Mullin 55' goal
  • Mark McKenzie 90'+1' goal
  • goal Lee Hodson 18'
  • goal Brian Graham 51'

Ayr United vs Partick Thistle - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Ayr United

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Oct 22, 2022 3.00pm
Ayr 2 - 2 Cove Rangers
Goals scored
59
Top scorer
Dipo Akinyemi

Partick Thistle

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Oct 22, 2022 3.00pm
Partick 0 - 4 Queen's Park
Goals scored
63
Top scorer
Brian Graham

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 44.46%. A win for Partick Thistle had a probability of 29.84% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Partick Thistle win was 0-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ayr United would win this match.

Result

Ayr United 44.46% (+1.36)
Draw 25.7% (-0.28)
Partick Thistle 29.84% (-1.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.31% (+0.34)

Goals

Over 2.5 49.49% (+0.68)
Under 2.5 50.5% (-0.68)
Over 3.5 27.57% (+0.60)
Under 3.5 72.43% (-0.60)

Ayr United Goals

Over 0.5 77.35% (+0.94)
Under 0.5 22.65% (-0.95)
Over 1.5 43.71% (+1.38)
Under 1.5 56.29% (-1.39)

Partick Thistle Goals

Over 0.5 68.93% (-0.42)
Under 0.5 31.07% (+0.42)
Over 1.5 32.61% (-0.49)
Under 1.5 67.39% (+0.49)

Score analysis

Ayr United 44.46%
Draw 25.69%
Partick Thistle 29.84%
Ayr United
1-0 @ 10.45% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.07% (+0.16)
2-0 @ 7.76% (+0.22)
3-1 @ 4.49% (+0.20)
3-0 @ 3.84% (+0.22)
3-2 @ 2.62% (+0.09)
4-1 @ 1.67% (+0.12)
4-0 @ 1.43% (+0.12)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 44.46%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.21% (-0.14)
0-0 @ 7.04% (-0.20)
2-2 @ 5.3% (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.02% (-98.98)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.69%
Partick Thistle
0-1 @ 8.23% (-0.33)
1-2 @ 7.14% (-0.17)
0-2 @ 4.81% (-0.25)
1-3 @ 2.78% (-0.10)
2-3 @ 2.07% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.87% (-0.13)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 29.84%

Head to Head

Scottish Championship Gameweek 36
Apr 29, 2022 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Aaron Muirhead 5' goal
  • Tomi Adeloye 30' goal
  • Aaron Muirhead 61' goal
  • yellowcard Ross Docherty 26'
  • yellowcard Richard Foster 29'
  • goal Alex Jakubiak 81'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 20
Feb 1, 2022 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Brian Graham 51' goal
  • Olatunji Akinola 65' yellowcard
  • Brian Graham 77' yellowcard
  • Scott Tiffoney 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sam Ashford 16'
  • yellowcard Paddy Reading 50'
  • yellowcard Sean McGinty 80'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 14
Nov 13, 2021 3.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Markus Fjortoft 41' yellowcard
  • Nick McAllister 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Ross Docherty 30'
  • goal Brian Graham 33'
  • goal Brian Graham 81'
  • goal Shea Gordon 90'+2'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 8
Oct 2, 2021 3.00pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Zak Rudden 34' goal
  • Cammy Smith 45' goal
  • Ross Docherty 57' yellowcard
  • Zak Rudden 72' goal
  • Brian Graham 85' goal
  • Lewis Mayo 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tomi Adeloye 41'
  • yellowcard Aaron Muirhead 82'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 30
Mar 20, 2020 7.05pm
Somerset Park
Scottish Championship Gameweek 23
Jan 31, 2020 7.05pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Firhill Stadium
  • Brian Graham 33' goal
  • Brian Graham 38' yellowcard
  • Lee O'Connor 52' yellowcard
  • Joe Cardle 61' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Daniel Harvie 25'
  • goal Alan Forrest 52'
  • yellowcard Aaron Muirhead 60'
  • yellowcard Ross Docherty 84'