Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 44.46%. A win for Partick Thistle had a probability of 29.84% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Partick Thistle win was 0-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ayr United would win this match.
Result | ||
Ayr United | Draw | Partick Thistle |
44.46% ( 1.35) | 25.7% ( -0.27) | 29.84% ( -1.08) |
Both teams to score 53.31% ( 0.33) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.49% ( 0.68) | 50.5% ( -0.68) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.57% ( 0.59) | 72.43% ( -0.6) |
Ayr United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.35% ( 0.94) | 22.65% ( -0.94) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.71% ( 1.38) | 56.29% ( -1.38) |
Partick Thistle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.93% ( -0.42) | 31.07% ( 0.41) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.61% ( -0.49) | 67.39% ( 0.49) |
Score Analysis |
Ayr United | Draw | Partick Thistle |
1-0 @ 10.45% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.07% ( 0.15) 2-0 @ 7.76% ( 0.22) 3-1 @ 4.49% ( 0.2) 3-0 @ 3.84% ( 0.21) 3-2 @ 2.62% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 1.67% ( 0.12) 4-0 @ 1.43% ( 0.12) 4-2 @ 0.97% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.16% Total : 44.46% | 1-1 @ 12.21% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 7.04% ( -0.2) 2-2 @ 5.3% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.69% | 0-1 @ 8.23% ( -0.33) 1-2 @ 7.14% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 4.81% ( -0.25) 1-3 @ 2.78% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.12) Other @ 2.95% Total : 29.84% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 16 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 22 | 38 |
2 | Livingston | 15 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 30 |
3 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 28 |
4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 26 |
5 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 25 |
6 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 15 |
7 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 15 |
8 | Raith Rovers | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 15 |
9 | Greenock MortonMorton | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 15 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 15 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 6 | 29 | -23 | 5 |
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