Scottish Championship Gameweek 11
Oct 15, 2022 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Paul McMullan 38' goal
  • Zach Robinson 49' goal
  • goal Josh Mullin 61'

Dundee vs Ayr United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Dundee

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Oct 8, 2022 3.00pm
Arbroath 1 - 1 Dundee
Goals scored
61
Top scorer
Zach Robinson

Ayr United

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Oct 8, 2022 3.00pm
Ayr 5 - 0 Queen's Park
Goals scored
59
Top scorer
Dipo Akinyemi

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 54.46%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Ayr United had a probability of 22.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 2-0 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11%), while for an Ayr United win it was 0-1 (6.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dundee would win this match.

Result

Dundee 54.46% (-0.02)
Draw 23.26% (+0.01)
Ayr United 22.28% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.22% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 53.97% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 46.03% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 31.67% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 68.34% (+0.01)

Dundee Goals

Over 0.5 83.2% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 16.8% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 53.24% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 46.77% (+0.02)

Ayr United Goals

Over 0.5 65.17% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 34.83% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 28.43% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 71.57% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Dundee 54.45%
Draw 23.25%
Ayr United 22.28%
Dundee
1-0 @ 10.43% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.82%
2-0 @ 9.31% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.84% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5.54% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.08% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 2.6% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 2.47% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.37%
Other @ 4%
Total : 54.45%
Draw
1-1 @ 11%
0-0 @ 5.85% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.18% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.08%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 23.25%
Ayr United
0-1 @ 6.17% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 5.81% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.25% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.04% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.82% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.14% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 22.28%

Head to Head

Scottish Championship Gameweek 5
Aug 26, 2022 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Dipo Akinyemi 17' goal
  • Jordan Houston 62' goal
  • Dipo Akinyemi 67' goal
  • Andy Murdoch 73' yellowcard
  • goal Zak Rudden 4'
  • yellowcard Ryan Sweeney 30'
  • redcard Ryan Sweeney 90'+2'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 23
Apr 6, 2021 7.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT
  • yellowcard Jordan Marshall 51'
  • goal Max Anderson 68'
  • yellowcard Danny Mullen 70'
  • goal Jonathan Afolabi 74'
  • goal Paul McGowan 87'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 13
Mar 16, 2021 7.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Charlie Adam 45' yellowcard
  • Osman Sow 86' goal
  • goal Mark McKenzie 18'
  • goal Cammy Smith 49'
  • yellowcard Mark McKenzie 65'
  • yellowcard Viljami Sinisalo 71'
  • goal Mark McKenzie 84'
  • yellowcard 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Corrie Ndaba 90'+2'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 5
Nov 21, 2020 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Cammy Smith 3' goal
  • Michael Moffat 16' goal
  • Viljami Sinisalo 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Shaun Byrne 73'
  • yellowcard Jordan Marshall 90'+1'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 21
Mar 10, 2020 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Kilmac Stadium at Dens Park
  • Kane Hemmings 11' goal
  • Josh Meekings 45' yellowcard
  • Ollie Crankshaw 90' goal
  • yellowcard Aaron Muirhead 24'
  • yellowcard Jordan Houston 59'
  • yellowcard Stephen Kelly 88'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 28
Mar 7, 2020 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Somerset Park
  • Sam Roscoe 52' yellowcard
  • Jordan Houston 66' yellowcard
  • Aaron Muirhead 70' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Cammy Kerr 25'