Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 54.46%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Ayr United had a probability of 22.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 2-0 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11%), while for an Ayr United win it was 0-1 (6.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dundee would win this match.
Result | ||
Dundee | Draw | Ayr United |
54.46% ( -0.02) | 23.26% ( 0) | 22.28% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 54.22% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.97% ( 0) | 46.03% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.67% ( 0) | 68.34% ( 0) |
Dundee Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.2% ( -0) | 16.8% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.24% ( -0.01) | 46.77% ( 0.01) |
Ayr United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.17% ( 0.02) | 34.83% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.43% ( 0.01) | 71.57% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Dundee | Draw | Ayr United |
1-0 @ 10.43% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.82% 2-0 @ 9.31% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.84% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.54% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.08% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.6% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.47% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.37% 5-1 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 3.07% Total : 54.45% | 1-1 @ 11% 0-0 @ 5.85% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.18% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.25% | 0-1 @ 6.17% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.81% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.25% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.04% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.82% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.14% ( 0) Other @ 2.05% Total : 22.28% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 33 | 14 | 19 | 38 |
2 | Livingston | 16 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 33 |
3 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 31 |
4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 26 |
5 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 25 |
6 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 18 |
7 | Raith Rovers | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 18 |
8 | Greenock MortonMorton | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 16 |
9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 15 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 8 | 31 | -23 | 6 |
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