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Arbroath
Ayr United
Dunfermline Athletic
Greenock Morton
Partick Thistle
Queen's Park
Raith Rovers
Ross County
St Johnstone logo
Dundee logo
Scottish Championship | Gameweek 11
Oct 15, 2022 at 3pm UK
Dens Park
Ayr United

Dundee
2 - 1
Ayr

McMullan (38'), Robinson (49')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Mullin (61')
Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Dundee and Ayr United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dundee

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last Game: Arbroath 1-1 Dundee
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Ayr United

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last Game: Ayr 5-0 Queen's Park
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 54.46%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Ayr United had a probability of 22.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 2-0 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11%), while for an Ayr United win it was 0-1 (6.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dundee would win this match.

Result
DundeeDrawAyr United
54.46% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)23.26% (0.004999999999999 0)22.28% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 54.22% (0.0089999999999932 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.97% (0.0030000000000001 0)46.03% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.67% (0.0030000000000001 0)68.34% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Dundee Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.2% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)16.8% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.24% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)46.77% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Ayr United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.17% (0.015000000000001 0.02)34.83% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.43% (0.013999999999999 0.01)71.57% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Dundee 54.45%
    Ayr United 22.28%
    Draw 23.25%
DundeeDrawAyr United
1-0 @ 10.43% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.82%
2-0 @ 9.31% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 5.84% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 5.54% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 3.08% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 2.6% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 2.47% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.37%
5-1 @ 0.93% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 54.45%
1-1 @ 11%
0-0 @ 5.85% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 5.18% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.08%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 23.25%
0-1 @ 6.17% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-2 @ 5.81% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 3.25% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-3 @ 2.04% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 1.82% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.14% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 22.28%

Head to Head
Aug 26, 2022 7.45pm
Ayr
3-1
Dundee
Akinyemi (17', 67'), Houston (62')
Murdoch (73')
Rudden (4')
Sweeney (30')
Sweeney (90+2')
Apr 6, 2021 7pm
Ayr
0-3
Dundee
Anderson (68'), Afolabi (74'), McGowan (87')
Marshall (51'), Mullen (70')
Mar 16, 2021 7pm
Dundee
1-3
Ayr
Sow (86')
Adam (45')
McKenzie (18', 84'), Smith (49')
McKenzie (65'), Sinisalo (71'), Ndaba (90+2')
Nov 21, 2020 3pm
Ayr
2-0
Dundee
Smith (3'), Moffat (16')
Sinisalo (80')

Byrne (73'), Marshall (90+1')
Mar 10, 2020 7.45pm
Dundee
2-0
Ayr
Hemmings (11'), Crankshaw (90')
Meekings (45')

Muirhead (24'), Houston (59'), Kelly (88')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0


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