Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cove Rangers win with a probability of 43.7%. A win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 29.96% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cove Rangers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Greenock Morton win was 0-1 (8.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cove Rangers | Draw | Greenock Morton |
| 43.7% ( | 26.35% ( | 29.96% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.34% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.91% ( | 53.09% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.33% ( | 74.67% ( |
| Cove Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.86% ( | 24.14% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.55% ( | 58.45% ( |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.67% ( | 32.32% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.17% ( | 68.83% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Cove Rangers | Draw | Greenock Morton |
| 1-0 @ 11.09% ( 2-1 @ 8.9% ( 2-0 @ 7.88% ( 3-1 @ 4.22% ( 3-0 @ 3.73% ( 3-2 @ 2.38% ( 4-1 @ 1.5% ( 4-0 @ 1.33% ( Other @ 2.67% Total : 43.7% | 1-1 @ 12.52% ( 0-0 @ 7.8% ( 2-2 @ 5.03% ( Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.34% | 0-1 @ 8.81% ( 1-2 @ 7.07% ( 0-2 @ 4.98% ( 1-3 @ 2.66% ( 2-3 @ 1.89% ( 0-3 @ 1.87% ( Other @ 2.67% Total : 29.96% |