Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 54.91%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 20.89%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.32%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.49%), while for a Greenock Morton win it was 0-1 (6.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ayr United | Draw | Greenock Morton |
| 54.91% ( | 24.19% ( | 20.89% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.42% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.53% ( | 51.47% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.72% ( | 73.28% ( |
| Ayr United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.36% ( | 18.64% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.05% ( | 49.95% ( |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.74% ( | 39.26% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.03% ( | 75.97% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Ayr United | Draw | Greenock Morton |
| 1-0 @ 12.29% ( 2-0 @ 10.32% ( 2-1 @ 9.65% ( 3-0 @ 5.78% ( 3-1 @ 5.41% ( 3-2 @ 2.53% ( 4-0 @ 2.43% ( 4-1 @ 2.27% ( 4-2 @ 1.06% ( Other @ 3.16% Total : 54.9% | 1-1 @ 11.49% ( 0-0 @ 7.32% ( 2-2 @ 4.51% ( Other @ 0.87% Total : 24.19% | 0-1 @ 6.84% ( 1-2 @ 5.37% ( 0-2 @ 3.2% ( 1-3 @ 1.67% ( 2-3 @ 1.41% ( 0-3 @ 1% ( Other @ 1.4% Total : 20.89% |