Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Partick Thistle win with a probability of 43.01%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 29.97% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Partick Thistle win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 0-1 (9.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Partick Thistle would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Partick Thistle | Draw | Arbroath |
| 43.01% ( | 27.01% ( | 29.97% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.34% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.34% ( | 55.66% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.19% ( | 76.81% ( |
| Partick Thistle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.36% ( | 25.63% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.47% ( | 60.53% ( |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.35% ( | 33.65% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.7% ( | 70.3% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Partick Thistle | Draw | Arbroath |
| 1-0 @ 11.74% ( 2-1 @ 8.7% ( 2-0 @ 7.99% ( 3-1 @ 3.95% ( 3-0 @ 3.63% ( 3-2 @ 2.15% ( 4-1 @ 1.34% ( 4-0 @ 1.23% ( Other @ 2.27% Total : 43.01% | 1-1 @ 12.78% ( 0-0 @ 8.63% ( 2-2 @ 4.74% ( Other @ 0.86% Total : 27% | 0-1 @ 9.4% ( 1-2 @ 6.97% ( 0-2 @ 5.12% ( 1-3 @ 2.53% ( 0-3 @ 1.86% ( 2-3 @ 1.72% ( Other @ 2.39% Total : 29.98% |