Scottish Challenge Cup | Fourth Round

Dec 10, 2022 at 3pm UK

New Douglas Park

Hamilton
2 - 0
Inverness

Nixon (4' og.), Mimnaugh (33')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup Fourth Round clash between Hamilton Academical and Inverness Caledonian Thistle.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hamilton Academical

All competitions

Scottish Challenge Cup

Last Game: Queen's Park 4-0 Hamilton
Saturday, December 3 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Inverness Caledonian Thistle

All competitions

Scottish Challenge Cup

Last Game: Inverness 0-1 Dundee
Saturday, December 3 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamilton Academical win with a probability of 46.73%. A win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 28.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hamilton Academical win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 0-1 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hamilton Academical would win this match.

Result
Hamilton Academical	Draw	Inverness Caledonian Thistle
46.73% ( 0.2)	24.75% ( -0.07)	28.52% ( -0.14)

Both teams to score 55.58% (

0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.83% (

0.21)

47.17% (

-0.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.6% (

0.19)

69.4% (

-0.19)

Hamilton Academical Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.75% (

0.17)

20.25% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.41% (

0.27)

52.59% (

-0.27)

Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.69% (

0.01)

30.31% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.51% (

0.01)

66.49% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Hamilton Academical 46.73%

Inverness Caledonian Thistle 28.52%

Draw 24.75%

Hamilton Academical	Draw	Inverness Caledonian Thistle
1-0 @ 9.8% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.34% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.83% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.97% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 4.17% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.97% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.99% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.66% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.19% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.81% Total : 46.73%	1-1 @ 11.7% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.14% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.58% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.75%	0-1 @ 7.33% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 6.98% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.37% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.78% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.22% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.1% Total : 28.52%