Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 46.68%. A win for Hamilton Academical had a probability of 27.81% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (8.28%). The likeliest Hamilton Academical win was 0-1 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Dundee in this match.
Result | ||
Dundee | Draw | Hamilton Academical |
46.68% ( 0.71) | 25.5% ( -0.29) | 27.81% ( -0.43) |
Both teams to score 52.66% ( 0.59) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.24% ( 0.91) | 50.76% ( -0.91) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.34% ( 0.8) | 72.66% ( -0.8) |
Dundee Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.26% ( 0.7) | 21.74% ( -0.71) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.08% ( 1.06) | 54.92% ( -1.07) |
Hamilton Academical Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.28% ( 0.15) | 32.71% ( -0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.73% ( 0.17) | 69.26% ( -0.17) |
Score Analysis |
Dundee | Draw | Hamilton Academical |
1-0 @ 10.85% ( -0.17) 2-1 @ 9.25% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 8.28% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 4.71% ( 0.14) 3-0 @ 4.21% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 2.63% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 1.8% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 1.61% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 1% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.35% Total : 46.68% | 1-1 @ 12.12% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 7.11% ( -0.27) 2-2 @ 5.17% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.49% | 0-1 @ 7.95% ( -0.26) 1-2 @ 6.78% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 4.44% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 2.52% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.93% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.55% Total : 27.81% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 33 | 14 | 19 | 38 |
2 | Livingston | 16 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 33 |
3 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 31 |
4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 26 |
5 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 25 |
6 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 18 |
7 | Raith Rovers | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 18 |
8 | Greenock MortonMorton | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 16 |
9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 15 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 8 | 31 | -23 | 6 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |