Scottish Championship | Gameweek 15

Nov 11, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

New Douglas Park

Hamilton
2 - 3
Ayr

Lawson (50' pen.), Ecrepont (80' og.)

FT(HT: 0-1)

Akinyemi (4', 69'), Dempsey (83' pen.)

Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Hamilton Academical and Ayr United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hamilton Academical

All competitions

Scottish Championship

Last Game: Rangers U21s 0-3 Hamilton
Tuesday, November 8 at 7.45pm in Scottish Challenge Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Ayr United

All competitions

Last Game: Ayr 1-1 Morton
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamilton Academical win with a probability of 47.75%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 27.65% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hamilton Academical win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.43%) and 2-0 (8.03%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 0-1 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result
Hamilton Academical	Draw	Ayr United
47.75% ( -0.27)	24.61% ( -0.06)	27.65% ( 0.33)

Both teams to score 55.4% (

0.46)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.9% (

0.49)

47.1% (

-0.48)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.66% (

0.45)

69.34% (

-0.44)

Hamilton Academical Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.21% (

0.08)

19.79% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.15% (

0.13)

51.85% (

-0.13)

Ayr United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.08% (

0.5)

30.93% (

-0.5)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.78% (

0.58)

67.22% (

-0.58)

Score Analysis

Hamilton Academical 47.75%

Ayr United 27.65%

Draw 24.6%

Hamilton Academical	Draw	Ayr United
1-0 @ 9.92% ( -0.17) 2-1 @ 9.43% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.03% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 5.09% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.34% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.99% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.06% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.76% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.21% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.94% Total : 47.75%	1-1 @ 11.63% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 6.12% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 5.53% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.6%	0-1 @ 7.18% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 6.83% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 4.22% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.67% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 2.16% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 1.65% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.94% Total : 27.65%