Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamilton Academical win with a probability of 40.68%. A win for Queen's Park had a probability of 34.07% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamilton Academical win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.75%) and 0-2 (6.61%). The likeliest Queen's Park win was 1-0 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Queen's Park | Draw | Hamilton Academical |
34.07% ( -0.66) | 25.25% ( 0.25) | 40.68% ( 0.41) |
Both teams to score 56.47% ( -1.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.85% ( -1.25) | 47.15% ( 1.25) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.62% ( -1.17) | 69.38% ( 1.18) |
Queen's Park Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.36% ( -0.98) | 26.64% ( 0.98) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.13% ( -1.32) | 61.87% ( 1.32) |
Hamilton Academical Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.97% ( -0.34) | 23.03% ( 0.35) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.16% ( -0.51) | 56.84% ( 0.51) |
Score Analysis |
Queen's Park | Draw | Hamilton Academical |
1-0 @ 8.11% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 7.88% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 5.37% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.48% ( -0.15) 3-2 @ 2.55% ( -0.14) 3-0 @ 2.37% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 1.15% ( -0.08) Other @ 3.17% Total : 34.07% | 1-1 @ 11.91% ( 0.17) 0-0 @ 6.13% ( 0.32) 2-2 @ 5.79% ( -0.14) 3-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.24% | 0-1 @ 9.01% ( 0.38) 1-2 @ 8.75% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 6.61% ( 0.21) 1-3 @ 4.28% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 3.24% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 2.83% ( -0.1) 1-4 @ 1.57% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 1.19% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.16% Total : 40.68% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 33 | 14 | 19 | 38 |
2 | Livingston | 16 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 33 |
3 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 31 |
4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 26 |
5 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 25 |
6 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 18 |
7 | Raith Rovers | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 18 |
8 | Greenock MortonMorton | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 16 |
9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 15 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 8 | 31 | -23 | 6 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |