Scottish Championship Gameweek 16
Nov 19, 2022 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Nathan Shaw 6' goal
  • Nathan Shaw 87' goal
  • goal Mark McKenzie 66'
  • goal Dipo Akinyemi 82'

Inverness Caledonian Thistle vs Ayr United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Inverness Caledonian Thistle

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Nov 12, 2022 5.30pm
Queen's Park 2 - 1 Inverness
Goals scored
51
Top scorer
Billy Mckay

Ayr United

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Nov 11, 2022 7.45pm
Hamilton 2 - 3 Ayr
Goals scored
59
Top scorer
Dipo Akinyemi

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 48.86%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Ayr United had a probability of 25.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.26%), while for an Ayr United win it was 0-1 (8.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result

Inverness Caledonian Thistle 48.86% (-0.06)
Draw 25.86% (-0.23)
Ayr United 25.28% (+0.29)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.52% (+0.92)

Goals

Over 2.5 46.14% (+1.08)
Under 2.5 53.86% (-1.08)
Over 3.5 24.68% (+0.90)
Under 3.5 75.32% (-0.90)

Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals

Over 0.5 77.93% (+0.43)
Under 0.5 22.07% (-0.43)
Over 1.5 44.59% (+0.64)
Under 1.5 55.41% (-0.64)

Ayr United Goals

Over 0.5 63.55% (+0.84)
Under 0.5 36.45% (-0.85)
Over 1.5 26.76% (+0.84)
Under 1.5 73.24% (-0.85)

Score analysis

Inverness Caledonian Thistle 48.86%
Draw 25.85%
Ayr United 25.28%
Inverness Caledonian Thistle
1-0 @ 12.15% (-0.36)
2-1 @ 9.27% (+0.06)
2-0 @ 9.18% (-0.16)
3-1 @ 4.67% (+0.09)
3-0 @ 4.63% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.36% (+0.10)
4-1 @ 1.76% (+0.06)
4-0 @ 1.75% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 48.86%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.26% (-0.09)
0-0 @ 8.04% (-0.35)
2-2 @ 4.68% (+0.14)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 25.85%
Ayr United
0-1 @ 8.12% (-0.16)
1-2 @ 6.19% (+0.11)
0-2 @ 4.1% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.08% (+0.09)
2-3 @ 1.57% (+0.08)
0-3 @ 1.38% (+0.04)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 25.28%

Head to Head

Scottish Championship Gameweek 9
Oct 1, 2022 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • goal Cameron Harper 47'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 33
Apr 9, 2022 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Fraser Bryden 54' goal
  • Paul Smith 73' yellowcard
  • Markus Fjortoft 76' goal
  • goal Shane Sutherland 6'
  • goal Logan Chalmers 13'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 26
Feb 19, 2022 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • David Carson 19' yellowcard
  • Cameron Harper 33' yellowcard
  • David Carson 68' redcard
  • Lewis Nicolson 86' goal
  • yellowcard Mark McKenzie 31'
  • goal Sean McGinty 35'
  • goal Tomi Adeloye 64'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 13
Nov 6, 2021 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Joe Chalmers 15' goal
  • Paddy Reading 53' goal
  • Mark McKenzie 84' yellowcard
  • Markus Fjortoft 88' yellowcard
  • goal Sean Welsh 13'
  • goal Michael Gardyne 26'
  • yellowcard Daniel Devine 72'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 3
Aug 21, 2021 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Sean McGinty 54' goal
  • David Carson 70' yellowcard
  • Robbie Deas 73' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Markus Fjortoft 40'
  • yellowcard Aaron Muirhead 75'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 27
Apr 30, 2021 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Daniel Mackay 6' goal
  • David Carson 39' yellowcard
  • Sean Welsh 47' goal
  • Sean Welsh 87' yellowcard
  • Roddy MacGregor 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Michael Miller 27'
  • goal Aaron Muirhead 39'
  • yellowcard Jordan Houston 65'
  • goal Josh Todd 67'