Raith Rovers
Scottish Cup | Fifth Round
Feb 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
Stark's Park
Motherwell logo

Raith Rovers
3 - 1
Motherwell

Gullan (17' pen.), Stanton (39'), Goncalves (85')
FT(HT: 2-0)
van Veen (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Cup clash between Raith Rovers and Motherwell, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Raith Rovers

All competitions
Scottish Cup
Last Game: Dundee 2-2 Raith Rovers (3-4 pen.)
Wednesday, February 8 at 7.45pm in Scottish Challenge Cup

Motherwell

All competitions
Scottish Cup
Last Game: Aberdeen 3-1 Motherwell
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 43.05%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 32.37% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.63%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 1-2 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Raith Rovers would win this match.

Result
Raith RoversDrawMotherwell
43.05% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)24.57% (0.020000000000003 0.02)32.37% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Both teams to score 58.26% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.42% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)44.57% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.05% (-0.093000000000004 -0.09)66.94% (0.090000000000003 0.09)
Raith Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.2% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)20.8% (0.053999999999998 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.54% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)53.46% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Motherwell Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.57% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)26.43% (0.038 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.4% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)61.6% (0.052 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Raith Rovers 43.05%
    Motherwell 32.37%
    Draw 24.57%
Raith RoversDrawMotherwell
2-1 @ 9.02% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-0 @ 8.63% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 6.78% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.72% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.55% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 3.14% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.85% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.39% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1.23% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 43.05%
1-1 @ 11.48% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.5% (0.022 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.39% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.57%
1-2 @ 7.64% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-1 @ 7.32% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.87% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.39% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
2-3 @ 2.66% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.16% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-4 @ 1.13% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 32.37%

How you voted: Raith Rovers vs Motherwell

Raith Rovers
25.0%
Draw
8.3%
Motherwell
66.7%
12