Scottish Cup
Feb 11, 2023 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • James Gullan 17' goal
  • Sam Stanton 39' goal
  • Esmael Goncalves 85' goal
  • goal Kevin van Veen 51'

Raith Rovers vs Motherwell - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Raith Rovers

All competitions

Motherwell

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 43.05%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 32.37% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.63%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 1-2 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Raith Rovers would win this match.

Result

Raith Rovers 43.05% (-0.04)
Draw 24.57% (+0.03)
Motherwell 32.37% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.26% (-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5 55.42% (-0.10)
Under 2.5 44.57% (+0.10)
Over 3.5 33.05% (-0.10)
Under 3.5 66.94% (+0.10)

Raith Rovers Goals

Over 0.5 79.2% (-0.06)
Under 0.5 20.8% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 46.54% (-0.09)
Under 1.5 53.46% (+0.09)

Motherwell Goals

Over 0.5 73.57% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 26.43% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 38.4% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 61.6% (+0.06)

Score analysis

Raith Rovers 43.05%
Draw 24.57%
Motherwell 32.37%
Raith Rovers
2-1 @ 9.02% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 8.63% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 6.78% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.72% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.55% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.14% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.85% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.39% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.23% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 43.05%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.48% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 6% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.5% (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.39% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.57%
Motherwell
1-2 @ 7.64% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 7.32% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 4.87% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.39% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.66% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.16% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.13% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 32.37%