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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 25
Feb 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
Pittodrie Stadium
Motherwell logo

Aberdeen
3 - 1
Motherwell

Lopes (42'), Miovski (64', 69')
Miovski (65'), Kennedy (74'), Pollock (74'), Clarkson (77')
FT(HT: 1-0)
van Veen (75' pen.)
Goss (39'), Obika (45+4'), O'Donnell (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Aberdeen and Motherwell, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Aberdeen 1-3 St Mirren
Wednesday, February 1 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Motherwell 0-2 St Johnstone
Wednesday, February 1 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Aberdeen 1-1 Motherwell

Neither side can buy a win at the moment, so it is hard to imagine there will be much quality on show at either end of the pitch. A draw may not be the worst result as it would end the respective losing runs both sides are on. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 46.74%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 28.16% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 0-1 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aberdeen would win this match.

Result
AberdeenDrawMotherwell
46.74% (-0.143 -0.14) 25.1% (0.041 0.04) 28.16% (0.094999999999999 0.09)
Both teams to score 54.17% (-0.071999999999996 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.11% (-0.126 -0.13)48.89% (0.12 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.01% (-0.115 -0.11)70.98% (0.108 0.11)
Aberdeen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.05% (-0.114 -0.11)20.95% (0.108 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.31% (-0.177 -0.18)53.69% (0.17 0.17)
Motherwell Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.52% (0.0040000000000049 0)31.47% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.14% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)67.86% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Aberdeen 46.73%
    Motherwell 28.16%
    Draw 25.1%
AberdeenDrawMotherwell
1-0 @ 10.3% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.31% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.06% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.85% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.2% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.81% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.9% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.64% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.1% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 46.73%
1-1 @ 11.91% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.59% (0.032 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.38% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.08% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.1%
0-1 @ 7.62% (0.04 0.04)
1-2 @ 6.89% (0.015 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.41% (0.024 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.65% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.07% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.7% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 28.16%

How you voted: Aberdeen vs Motherwell

Aberdeen
61.5%
Draw
23.1%
Motherwell
15.4%
13
Head to Head
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
Aug 13, 2022 3pm
Aberdeen
2-3
Motherwell
Miovski (42'), Hayes (47')
MacKenzie (90+6')
Spittal (20'), Slattery (52'), Van Veen (55')
Slattery (35'), Morris (85')
Feb 19, 2022 3pm
Motherwell
1-1
Aberdeen
O'Hara (68')
Shields (31'), Mugabi (45+4'), Donnelly (52'), Lamie (90+2')
Besuijen (34')
McCrorie (3'), Gallagher (45+4'), Ferguson (83')
Feb 12, 2022 3pm
Fifth Round
Motherwell
2-1
Aberdeen
Van Veen (34'), Shields (45+3')
van Veen (35'), Carroll (83')
Ramirez (3')
Hayes (32'), Gallagher (35'), Brown (69')
Nov 6, 2021 3pm
Aberdeen
0-2
Motherwell

Ferguson (42'), McCrorie (77'), Ojo (90+2')
Van Veen (50', 57')
Maguire (21'), van Veen (22'), Roberts (36'), McGinley (64'), Mugabi (76')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic1514104444043
2Aberdeen16104230181234
3RangersRangers1510232791832
4Motherwell168172226-425
5Dundee UnitedDundee Utd166642519624
6St Mirren176382228-621
7Dundee165472729-219
8Hibernian173682129-815
9Ross County173681333-2015
10St Johnstone1742112032-1214
11Kilmarnock163581734-1714
12Hearts163491825-713


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