Scottish Premiership

Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 25

Feb 4, 2023 at 3pm UK

Pittodrie Stadium

Aberdeen
3 - 1
Motherwell

Lopes (42'), Miovski (64', 69')

FT(HT: 1-0)

van Veen (75' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Aberdeen and Motherwell, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aberdeen

All competitions

Scottish Premiership

Last Game: Aberdeen 1-3 St Mirren
Wednesday, February 1 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

Motherwell

All competitions

Scottish Premiership

Last Game: Motherwell 0-2 St Johnstone
Wednesday, February 1 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 46.74%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 28.16% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 0-1 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aberdeen would win this match.

Result
Aberdeen	Draw	Motherwell
46.74% ( -0.14)	25.1% ( 0.04)	28.16% ( 0.09)

Both teams to score 54.17% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.11% (

-0.13)

48.89% (

0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.01% (

-0.11)

70.98% (

0.11)

Aberdeen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.05% (

-0.11)

20.95% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.31% (

-0.18)

53.69% (

0.17)

Motherwell Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.52% (

31.47% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.14% (

0.01)

67.86% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Aberdeen 46.73%

Motherwell 28.16%

Draw 25.1%

Aberdeen	Draw	Motherwell
1-0 @ 10.3% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.31% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.06% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.85% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.2% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.81% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.9% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.64% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.1% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.58% Total : 46.73%	1-1 @ 11.91% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.59% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.38% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.1%	0-1 @ 7.62% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 6.89% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.41% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.65% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.07% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.82% Total : 28.16%