Scottish Cup | Fourth Round
Jan 23, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Recreation Park
Aberdeen logo

Darvel
1 - 0
Aberdeen

Kirkpatrick (19')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Scottish Cup Fourth Round clash between Darvel and Aberdeen.

Form, Standings, Stats

Darvel

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:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Aberdeen

All competitions
Last Game: Hearts 5-0 Aberdeen
Wednesday, January 18 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 74.13%. A draw had a probability of 14.4% and a win for Darvel had a probability of 11.47%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (8.19%) and 0-2 (7.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.88%), while for a Darvel win it was 2-1 (3.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.

Result
DarvelDrawAberdeen
11.47% (-1.652 -1.65)14.4% (-0.637 -0.64)74.13% (2.288 2.29)
Both teams to score 62.89% (-3.038 -3.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
76% (-1.258 -1.26)24% (1.257 1.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
56.4% (-1.69 -1.69)43.6% (1.689 1.69)
Darvel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.59% (-3.283 -3.28)33.41% (3.282 3.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.96% (-3.768 -3.77)70.04% (3.767 3.77)
Aberdeen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.44% (0.090000000000003 0.09)5.55% (-0.091 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
78.39% (0.262 0.26)21.61% (-0.261 -0.26)
Score Analysis
    Darvel 11.47%
    Aberdeen 74.13%
    Draw 14.4%
DarvelDrawAberdeen
2-1 @ 3.22% (-0.295 -0.3)
1-0 @ 2.03% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.7% (-0.32 -0.32)
3-1 @ 1.18% (-0.229 -0.23)
2-0 @ 1.12% (-0.109 -0.11)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 11.47%
1-1 @ 5.88% (0.016 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.66% (-0.397 -0.4)
0-0 @ 1.86% (0.155 0.16)
3-3 @ 1.64% (-0.298 -0.3)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 14.4%
1-2 @ 8.5% (0.07 0.07)
1-3 @ 8.19% (0.114 0.11)
0-2 @ 7.75% (0.727 0.73)
0-3 @ 7.47% (0.739 0.74)
1-4 @ 5.92% (0.115 0.11)
0-4 @ 5.4% (0.562 0.56)
0-1 @ 5.36% (0.475 0.48)
2-3 @ 4.49% (-0.356 -0.36)
1-5 @ 3.42% (0.085 0.09)
2-4 @ 3.24% (-0.238 -0.24)
0-5 @ 3.12% (0.34 0.34)
2-5 @ 1.88% (-0.126 -0.13)
1-6 @ 1.65% (0.051 0.05)
0-6 @ 1.5% (0.172 0.17)
3-4 @ 1.19% (-0.206 -0.21)
2-6 @ 0.9% (-0.055 -0.05)
Other @ 4.14%
Total : 74.13%

How you voted: Darvel vs Aberdeen

Darvel
25.0%
Draw
12.5%
Aberdeen
62.5%
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