MX23RW : Wednesday, December 11 19:25:30| >> :300:86500:86500:
Aberdeen logo
Celtic logo
Dundee logo
Dundee United
Hearts logo
Hibs logo
Kilmarnock logo
Motherwell logo
Rangers logo
Ross County
St Johnstone logo
St Mirren logo
Hearts logo
Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 22
Jan 18, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Tynecastle
Aberdeen logo

Hearts
5 - 0
Aberdeen

Shinnie (15' og.), Smith (28'), Shankland (40' pen.), Ginnelly (45+1'), Devlin (61')
Rowles (55')
FT(HT: 4-0)

Lopes (39')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Scottish Premiership clash between Hearts and Aberdeen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hearts 1-0 St Mirren
Friday, January 13 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Hearts 2-1 Aberdeen

Having avoided defeat in each of their past seven games, Hearts will be confident of overcoming Aberdeen, who look set to struggle without Stewart following last weekend's League Cup exit. If the recent scoring trends of Hearts and Aberdeen are anything to go by, both teams should find the net on Wednesday, but the hosts have more than enough quality to outscore the visitors at Tynecastle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 49.86%. A win for Aberdeen had a probability of 26.95% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.49%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Aberdeen win was 1-2 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.

Result
HeartsDrawAberdeen
49.86% (0.075000000000003 0.08) 23.19% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02) 26.95% (-0.053999999999998 -0.05)
Both teams to score 59.65% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.76% (0.061999999999998 0.06)41.23% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.37% (0.062999999999995 0.06)63.63% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.29% (0.049999999999997 0.05)16.7% (-0.053999999999998 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.4% (0.091000000000001 0.09)46.59% (-0.093000000000004 -0.09)
Aberdeen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.61% (-0.0050000000000097 -0.01)28.38% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.87% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)64.13% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Hearts 49.86%
    Aberdeen 26.95%
    Draw 23.18%
HeartsDrawAberdeen
2-1 @ 9.56% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-0 @ 8.49% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.59% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 5.7% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.53% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.59% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.55% (0.01 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.03% (0.008 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.61% (0.006 0.01)
5-1 @ 0.91% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 49.86%
1-1 @ 10.68% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.02% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 4.74% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.51% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 23.18%
1-2 @ 6.73% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-1 @ 5.97% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.76% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.82% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.53%
0-3 @ 1.58% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 26.95%

How you voted: Hearts vs Aberdeen

Hearts
86.8%
Draw
11.3%
Aberdeen
1.9%
53
Head to Head
Oct 16, 2022 3pm
Mar 2, 2022 7.45pm
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
Aberdeen
2-1
Hearts
Watkins (49'), Ferguson (69')
McCrorie (59'), Campbell (82')
Souttar (45+2' pen.)
Woodburn (61'), Halkett (86')
Halliday (89')
Aug 22, 2021 3pm
Hearts
1-1
Aberdeen
Boyce (56' pen.)
Halliday (50'), Haring (76'), Walker (90+5')
Ojo (71')
Hayes (16'), Ferguson (80')
Apr 3, 2020 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic1514104444043
2Aberdeen16104230181234
3RangersRangers1510232791832
4Dundee UnitedDundee Utd156632215724
5Motherwell157171823-522
6Dundee165472729-219
7St Mirren165381926-718
8Ross County163671230-1815
9St Johnstone1642101829-1114
10Kilmarnock163581734-1714
11Hearts163491825-713
12Hibernian162681828-1012


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!