Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 47.3%. A win for Aberdeen had a probability of 29.85% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.26%) and 0-2 (6.59%). The likeliest Aberdeen win was 2-1 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.
Result | ||
Aberdeen | Draw | Celtic |
29.85% ( 2.33) | 22.84% ( 0.61) | 47.3% ( -2.94) |
Both teams to score 63.15% ( -0.46) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.4% ( -1.36) | 37.59% ( 1.35) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.17% ( -1.47) | 59.83% ( 1.47) |
Aberdeen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.42% ( 0.81) | 24.57% ( -0.82) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.93% ( 1.13) | 59.06% ( -1.14) |
Celtic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.72% ( -1.54) | 16.27% ( 1.54) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.17% ( -2.86) | 45.82% ( 2.86) |
Score Analysis |
Aberdeen | Draw | Celtic |
2-1 @ 7.15% ( 0.42) 1-0 @ 5.61% ( 0.48) 2-0 @ 3.94% ( 0.42) 3-1 @ 3.35% ( 0.27) 3-2 @ 3.04% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 1.84% ( 0.24) 4-1 @ 1.17% ( 0.12) 4-2 @ 1.07% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.68% Total : 29.85% | 1-1 @ 10.19% ( 0.37) 2-2 @ 6.49% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 4% ( 0.26) 3-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.33% Total : 22.84% | 1-2 @ 9.25% ( -0.15) 0-1 @ 7.26% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 6.59% ( -0.27) 1-3 @ 5.6% ( -0.4) 0-3 @ 3.99% ( -0.39) 2-3 @ 3.93% ( -0.18) 1-4 @ 2.54% ( -0.33) 0-4 @ 1.81% ( -0.28) 2-4 @ 1.78% ( -0.19) 1-5 @ 0.92% ( -0.18) Other @ 3.62% Total : 47.3% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 15 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 44 | 4 | 40 | 43 |
2 | Aberdeen | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 30 | 18 | 12 | 34 |
3 | RangersRangers | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 9 | 18 | 32 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 24 |
5 | Motherwell | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 22 |
6 | Dundee | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 27 | 29 | -2 | 19 |
7 | St Mirren | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 18 |
8 | Ross County | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 30 | -18 | 15 |
9 | St Johnstone | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 14 |
10 | Kilmarnock | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 34 | -17 | 14 |
11 | Hearts | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
12 | Hibernian | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 12 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |