Scottish Premiership

Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 12

Oct 22, 2022 at 3pm UK

Fir Park Stadium

Motherwell
1 - 2
Aberdeen

McKinstry (55')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Miovski (4'), Lopes (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Motherwell and Aberdeen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Motherwell

All competitions

Scottish Premiership

Last Game: Motherwell 0-4 Celtic
Wednesday, October 19 at 6.15pm in Scottish League Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Aberdeen

All competitions

Scottish Premiership

Last Game: Aberdeen 4-1 Partick
Wednesday, October 19 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 47.65%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 26.71% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.28%) and 0-2 (8.66%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 1-0 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Aberdeen in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Aberdeen.

Result
Motherwell	Draw	Aberdeen
26.71% ( -0.05)	25.63% ( 0.1)	47.65% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 51.4% (

-0.35)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48% (

-0.44)

52% (

0.43)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.26% (

-0.38)

73.74% (

0.38)

Motherwell Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.75% (

-0.27)

34.25% (

0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.06% (

-0.29)

70.94% (

0.29)

Aberdeen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.17% (

-0.21)

21.83% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.95% (

-0.31)

55.05% (

0.31)

Score Analysis

Motherwell 26.71%

Aberdeen 47.65%

Draw 25.63%

Motherwell	Draw	Aberdeen
1-0 @ 8.01% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 6.53% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 4.29% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.33% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.78% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 1.53% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.23% Total : 26.71%	1-1 @ 12.19% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 7.47% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 4.97% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 0.9% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.63%	0-1 @ 11.37% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 9.28% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 8.66% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 4.71% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 4.39% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.52% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.79% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 1.67% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.3% Total : 47.65%