| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Hearts | 4 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | Aberdeen | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 6 | St Mirren | 4 | 0 | 6 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | St Mirren | 4 | 0 | 6 |
| 7 | Livingston | 4 | 0 | 6 |
| 8 | Hibernian | 4 | 0 | 5 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 57.5%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Livingston had a probability of 18.55%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.33%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.3%), while for a Livingston win it was 0-1 (6.68%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aberdeen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aberdeen | Draw | Livingston |
| 57.5% ( | 23.95% ( | 18.55% |
| Both teams to score 46.53% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.57% ( | 53.42% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.04% ( | 74.95% ( |
| Aberdeen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.6% ( | 18.4% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.45% ( | 49.55% ( |
| Livingston Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.02% ( | 42.98% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.73% ( | 79.27% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Aberdeen | Draw | Livingston |
| 1-0 @ 13.38% 2-0 @ 11.33% 2-1 @ 9.57% 3-0 @ 6.39% 3-1 @ 5.4% ( 4-0 @ 2.71% 4-1 @ 2.29% 3-2 @ 2.28% 4-2 @ 0.97% 5-0 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.27% Total : 57.49% | 1-1 @ 11.3% 0-0 @ 7.91% ( 2-2 @ 4.04% ( Other @ 0.7% Total : 23.95% | 0-1 @ 6.68% ( 1-2 @ 4.77% 0-2 @ 2.82% 1-3 @ 1.34% 2-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 1.8% Total : 18.55% |