Scottish Premiership

Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 2

Aug 6, 2022 at 3pm UK

Pittodrie Stadium

Aberdeen
4 - 1
St Mirren

Miovski (24' pen., 37'), Clarkson (45'), Lopes (87')
McCrorie (61')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Ayunga (53' pen.)
Gallagher (9'), Ayunga (48'), Kiltie (85')
Gallagher (23')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Aberdeen and St Mirren, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aberdeen

Last Six:

Last Game: Celtic 2-0 Aberdeen
Sunday, July 31 at 4.30pm in Scottish Premiership

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
10	St Johnstone	1	-1	0
11	St Mirren	1	-1	0
12	Aberdeen	1	-2	0

St Mirren

Last Six:

Last Game: St Mirren 0-1 Motherwell
Sunday, July 31 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
10	St Johnstone	1	-1	0
11	St Mirren	1	-1	0
12	Aberdeen	1	-2	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 54.65%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for St Mirren had a probability of 20.56%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.68%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.7%), while for a St Mirren win it was 0-1 (7.22%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aberdeen would win this match.

Result
Aberdeen	Draw	St Mirren
54.65% ( 0.32)	24.79% ( -0.29)	20.56% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 47.24% (

0.77)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.88% (

1.04)

54.13% (

-1.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.46% (

0.87)

75.55% (

-0.86)

Aberdeen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.24% (

0.54)

19.76% (

-0.53)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.2% (

0.86)

51.8% (

-0.86)

St Mirren Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.87% (

0.57)

41.13% (

-0.57)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.33% (

0.5)

77.67% (

-0.5)

Score Analysis

Aberdeen 54.63%

St Mirren 20.56%

Draw 24.78%

Aberdeen	Draw	St Mirren
1-0 @ 13.17% ( -0.32) 2-0 @ 10.68% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 9.49% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 5.78% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 5.13% ( 0.13) 4-0 @ 2.34% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.28% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 2.08% ( 0.09) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.76% Total : 54.63%	1-1 @ 11.7% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 8.13% ( -0.33) 2-2 @ 4.22% ( 0.1) Other @ 0.74% Total : 24.78%	0-1 @ 7.22% ( -0.18) 1-2 @ 5.2% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 3.21% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.2% Total : 20.56%