Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 49.48%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Motherwell had a probability of 24.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.7%) and 2-1 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.4%), while for a Motherwell win it was 0-1 (8.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Motherwell would win this match.