Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sligo Rovers win with a probability of 38.19%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 36.52% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sligo Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.12%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 0-1 (8.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sligo Rovers would win this match.