Sligo Rovers
Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 28, 2022 at 7pm UK
The Showgrounds
Motherwell logo

Sligo
2 - 0
Motherwell

Blaney (4'), Mata (90+1')
McDonnell (16'), Mata (25')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Morris (47'), McGinn (63'), Efford (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Sligo Rovers and Motherwell, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Motherwell 0-1 Sligo
Thursday, July 21 at 7.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Motherwell 0-1 Sligo
Thursday, July 21 at 7.45pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sligo Rovers win with a probability of 38.19%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 36.52% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sligo Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.12%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 0-1 (8.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sligo Rovers would win this match.

Result
Sligo RoversDrawMotherwell
38.19% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)25.28% (0.036999999999999 0.04)36.52% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Both teams to score 56.71% (-0.135 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.01% (-0.173 -0.17)46.99% (0.173 0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.76% (-0.16 -0.16)69.23% (0.16 0.16)
Sligo Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.76% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)24.23% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.42% (-0.137 -0.14)58.58% (0.136 0.14)
Motherwell Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.85% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)25.14% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.14% (-0.113 -0.11)59.86% (0.113 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Sligo Rovers 38.19%
    Motherwell 36.52%
    Draw 25.28%
Sligo RoversDrawMotherwell
1-0 @ 8.64% (0.037999999999998 0.04)
2-1 @ 8.45% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.12% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.99% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.89% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.76% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.42% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.03% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 0.98% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 38.19%
1-1 @ 11.92% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.09% (0.044 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.83% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.27% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.28%
0-1 @ 8.41% (0.041 0.04)
1-2 @ 8.23% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 5.81% (0.015 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.79% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.68% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.67% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-4 @ 1.31% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-4 @ 0.93% (-0.007 -0.01)
0-4 @ 0.92% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 36.52%

How you voted: Sligo vs Motherwell

Sligo Rovers
39.3%
Draw
21.4%
Motherwell
39.3%
28
Head to Head
Jul 21, 2022 7.45pm
Motherwell
0-1
Sligo

Carroll (7'), Maguire (66')
Keena (27')
Blaney (14'), Banks (75')