Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
6 | Hearts | 6 | 2 | 10 |
7 | Motherwell | 6 | 1 | 10 |
8 | St Mirren | 6 | -2 | 9 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
5 | Aberdeen | 7 | 4 | 10 |
6 | Hearts | 6 | 2 | 10 |
7 | Motherwell | 6 | 1 | 10 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 38.09%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 34.53% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.14%) and 0-2 (6.89%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 1-0 (10.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.
Result | ||
Motherwell | Draw | Hearts |
34.53% ( -0) | 27.38% ( -0.49) | 38.09% ( 0.5) |
Both teams to score 49.6% ( 1.5) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.04% ( 1.87) | 55.96% ( -1.87) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.94% ( 1.5) | 77.06% ( -1.5) |
Motherwell Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.35% ( 0.94) | 30.66% ( -0.94) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.1% ( 1.1) | 66.9% ( -1.09) |
Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.53% ( 1.21) | 28.47% ( -1.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.76% ( 1.49) | 64.24% ( -1.49) |
Score Analysis |
Motherwell | Draw | Hearts |
1-0 @ 10.32% ( -0.48) 2-1 @ 7.67% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 6.1% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 3.02% ( 0.12) 3-0 @ 2.41% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.9% ( 0.13) Other @ 3.12% Total : 34.53% | 1-1 @ 12.96% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 8.73% ( -0.65) 2-2 @ 4.81% ( 0.22) Other @ 0.87% Total : 27.38% | 0-1 @ 10.96% ( -0.42) 1-2 @ 8.14% ( 0.17) 0-2 @ 6.89% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.41% ( 0.18) 0-3 @ 2.88% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 2.02% ( 0.16) 1-4 @ 1.07% ( 0.09) 0-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.06) Other @ 1.81% Total : 38.09% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 15 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 44 | 4 | 40 | 43 |
2 | Aberdeen | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 30 | 18 | 12 | 34 |
3 | RangersRangers | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 9 | 18 | 32 |
4 | Motherwell | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 25 |
5 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 24 |
6 | St Mirren | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 28 | -6 | 21 |
7 | Dundee | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 27 | 29 | -2 | 19 |
8 | Hibernian | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 15 |
9 | Ross County | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 33 | -20 | 15 |
10 | St Johnstone | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 14 |
11 | Kilmarnock | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 34 | -17 | 14 |
12 | Hearts | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |