Scottish Premiership

Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 6

Sep 3, 2022 at 3pm UK

Almondvale Stadium

Livingston
1 - 0
Hearts

Montano (28')
Omeonga (23'), Holt (34'), Pittman (68'), Nouble (90+3')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Devlin (52'), Shankland (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Livingston and Hearts, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hearts

Last Six:

Last Game: Hearts 0-1 Kilmarnock
Wednesday, August 31 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
2	Rangers	5	11	13
3	Hearts	5	3	10
4	Aberdeen	5	6	9

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 38.42%. A win for Livingston had a probability of 34.33% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.21%) and 0-2 (6.92%). The likeliest Livingston win was 1-0 (10.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.

Result
Livingston	Draw	Hearts
34.33% ( 0.84)	27.25% ( -0.06)	38.42% ( -0.78)

Both teams to score 49.98% (

0.33)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.52% (

0.35)

55.48% (

-0.35)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.33% (

0.29)

76.67% (

-0.28)

Livingston Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.46% (

0.73)

30.54% (

-0.72)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.23% (

0.85)

66.77% (

-0.85)

Hearts Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.95% (

-0.28)

28.05% (

0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.3% (

-0.35)

63.7% (

0.36)

Score Analysis

Livingston 34.33%

Hearts 38.42%

Draw 27.24%

Livingston	Draw	Hearts
1-0 @ 10.16% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 7.66% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 6.03% ( 0.16) 3-1 @ 3.03% ( 0.12) 3-0 @ 2.38% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 1.93% ( 0.06) Other @ 3.15% Total : 34.33%	1-1 @ 12.91% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.57% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 4.87% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.9% Total : 27.24%	0-1 @ 10.89% ( -0.23) 1-2 @ 8.21% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 6.92% ( -0.21) 1-3 @ 3.48% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 2.93% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 2.06% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.88% Total : 38.42%