Europa League

Europa League | Playoffs | 1st Leg

Aug 18, 2022 at 6pm UK

Stadion Letzigrund

FC Zurich
2 - 1
Hearts

(FC Zurich win 3-1 on aggregate)

Guerrero (32'), Dzemaili (34')
Marchesano (22'), Guerrero (47')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Shankland (22' pen.)
Sibbick (86'), Smith (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between FC Zurich and Hearts, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hearts

Last Six:

Last Game: Hearts 4-1 Dundee Utd
Sunday, August 14 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
2	Rangers	3	7	9
3	Hearts	3	4	7
4	Motherwell	3	1	6

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Zurich win with a probability of 50.05%. A win for Hearts had a probability of 25.17% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Zurich win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.89%). The likeliest Hearts win was 0-1 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Zurich would win this match.

Result
FC Zurich	Draw	Hearts
50.05% ( 0.02)	24.77% ( 0.07)	25.17% ( -0.1)

Both teams to score 52.7% (

-0.32)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.36% (

-0.37)

49.64% (

0.37)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.34% (

-0.34)

71.66% (

0.33)

FC Zurich Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.15% (

-0.14)

19.84% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.06% (

-0.22)

51.94% (

0.22)

Hearts Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.75% (

-0.28)

34.24% (

0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.05% (

-0.3)

70.94% (

0.3)

Score Analysis

FC Zurich 50.05%

Hearts 25.17%

Draw 24.77%

FC Zurich	Draw	Hearts
1-0 @ 10.99% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 9.52% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.89% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 5.13% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 4.79% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.75% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 2.08% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.94% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.85% Total : 50.05%	1-1 @ 11.77% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.8% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 5.1% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.77%	0-1 @ 7.28% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 6.31% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 3.9% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.25% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.2% Total : 25.17%