Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Winterthur win with a probability of 40.15%. A win for FC Zurich had a probability of 35.04% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Winterthur win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.38%) and 2-0 (6.28%). The likeliest FC Zurich win was 1-2 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.

Result
FC Winterthur	Draw	FC Zurich
40.15% ( 0.08)	24.81% ( -0.05)	35.04% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 58.23% (

0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.05% (

0.21)

44.95% (

-0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.7% (

0.2)

67.3% (

-0.2)

FC Winterthur Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.67% (

0.13)

22.33% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.2% (

0.19)

55.8% (

-0.2)

FC Zurich Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.97% (

0.08)

25.03% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.31% (

0.11)

59.69% (

-0.11)

Score Analysis

FC Winterthur 40.15%

FC Zurich 35.04%

Draw 24.8%

FC Winterthur	Draw	FC Zurich
2-1 @ 8.7% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.38% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 6.28% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.35% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.14% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.01% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.63% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.18% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.13% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.36% Total : 40.15%	1-1 @ 11.6% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.03% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.59% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.8%	1-2 @ 8.04% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.74% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 5.36% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.71% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.78% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.48% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.29% ( 0) 2-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.68% Total : 35.04%