Winterthur
Swiss Super League | Gameweek 3
Jul 31, 2022 at 3.30pm UK
Stadion Schützenwiese
Lugano

Winterthur
1 - 4
Lugano

Buess (11')
Diaby (48'), Ballet (76'), Goncalves (88'), Rodriguez (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Celar (20', 90+1' pen.), Haile-Selassie (22'), Bottani (31')
Arigoni (27')
Coverage of the Swiss Super League clash between FC Winterthur and Lugano.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Winterthur

Last Six:
Last Game: St Gallen 2-0 Winterthur
Saturday, July 23 at 7.30pm in Swiss Super League

Lugano

Last Six:
Last Game: Grasshopper 2-1 Lugano
Sunday, July 24 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Winterthur win with a probability of 46.03%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 29.63% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Winterthur win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Lugano win was 1-2 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.

Result
FC WinterthurDrawLugano
46.03% (0.017999999999994 0.02)24.34% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)29.63% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Both teams to score 57.68% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.27% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)44.73% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.91% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)67.09% (-0.012 -0.01)
FC Winterthur Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.44% (0.010000000000005 0.01)19.56% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.52% (0.018999999999998 0.02)51.47% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Lugano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.7% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)28.29% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.98% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)64.01% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Score Analysis
    FC Winterthur 46.03%
    Lugano 29.63%
    Draw 24.34%
FC WinterthurDrawLugano
2-1 @ 9.3% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-0 @ 9.03% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-0 @ 7.37% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 5.06% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 4.01% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 3.19% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.06% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.63% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.3% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 46.03%
1-1 @ 11.4%
2-2 @ 5.87% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-0 @ 5.53% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.34%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.34%
1-2 @ 7.2% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 6.99% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 4.41% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 3.03% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.47%
0-3 @ 1.86% (-0.002 -0)
1-4 @ 0.96% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 29.63%

rhs 2.0


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