Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Gallen win with a probability of 44.02%. A win for FC Winterthur had a probability of 32.82% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Gallen win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.98%) and 2-0 (6.07%). The likeliest FC Winterthur win was 1-2 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Gallen would win this match.

Result
St Gallen	Draw	FC Winterthur
44.02% ( -3.15)	23.16% ( 0.48)	32.82% ( 2.66)

Both teams to score 63.59% (

-0.39)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.33% (

-1.09)

37.67% (

1.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.09% (

-1.18)

59.91% (

1.18)

St Gallen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.44% (

-1.63)

17.56% (

1.62)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.89% (

-2.9)

48.11% (

2.9)

FC Winterthur Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.14% (

1.02)

22.85% (

-1.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.41% (

1.49)

56.59% (

-1.49)

Score Analysis

St Gallen 44.02%

FC Winterthur 32.82%

Draw 23.15%

St Gallen	Draw	FC Winterthur
2-1 @ 8.96% ( -0.23) 1-0 @ 6.98% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.07% ( -0.35) 3-1 @ 5.2% ( -0.43) 3-2 @ 3.84% ( -0.19) 3-0 @ 3.52% ( -0.41) 4-1 @ 2.26% ( -0.32) 4-2 @ 1.67% ( -0.18) 4-0 @ 1.53% ( -0.27) Other @ 3.99% Total : 44.02%	1-1 @ 10.3% ( 0.29) 2-2 @ 6.61% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 4.01% ( 0.21) 3-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.34% Total : 23.15%	1-2 @ 7.61% ( 0.44) 0-1 @ 5.93% ( 0.47) 0-2 @ 4.37% ( 0.47) 1-3 @ 3.74% ( 0.32) 2-3 @ 3.25% ( 0.11) 0-3 @ 2.15% ( 0.29) 1-4 @ 1.38% ( 0.16) 2-4 @ 1.2% ( 0.08) Other @ 3.19% Total : 32.82%