Scottish Premiership

Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 3

Aug 14, 2022 at 3pm UK

Tynecastle

Hearts
4 - 1
Dundee Utd

Shankland (1'), McKay (48'), Grant (62'), Ginnelly (90+5')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Fletcher (71' pen.)
Cudjoe (19'), McGrath (54'), Graham (64'), Edwards (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Scottish Premiership clash between Hearts and Dundee United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hearts

Last Six:

Last Game: Hibernian 1-1 Hearts
Sunday, August 7 at 12pm in Scottish Premiership

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
4	Livingston	3	1	6
5	Hearts	2	1	4
6	Hibernian	3	0	4

Dundee United

Last Six:

Last Game: AZ 7-0 Dundee Utd
Thursday, August 11 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
9	St Johnstone	3	-4	3
10	Dundee United	2	-1	1
11	Kilmarnock	2	-2	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 63.84%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Dundee United had a probability of 14.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.38%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.16%), while for a Dundee United win it was 0-1 (5.35%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.

Result
Hearts	Draw	Dundee United
63.84% ( 5.52)	21.47% ( -2.45)	14.68% ( -3.07)

Both teams to score 46.02% (

0.74)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.1% (

4.46)

49.89% (

-4.47)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.11% (

3.85)

71.89% (

-3.85)

Hearts Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.02% (

3.46)

14.97% (

-3.47)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.59% (

6.21)

43.4% (

-6.21)

Dundee United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.12% (

-1.39)

45.87% (

1.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.38% (

-1.11)

81.62% (

1.11)

Score Analysis

Hearts 63.84%

Dundee United 14.68%

Draw 21.47%

Hearts	Draw	Dundee United
1-0 @ 13.04% ( -0.82) 2-0 @ 12.38% ( 0.66) 2-1 @ 9.65% ( 0.15) 3-0 @ 7.84% ( 1.23) 3-1 @ 6.11% ( 0.76) 4-0 @ 3.72% ( 0.93) 4-1 @ 2.9% ( 0.64) 3-2 @ 2.38% ( 0.21) 5-0 @ 1.41% ( 0.47) 4-2 @ 1.13% ( 0.21) 5-1 @ 1.1% ( 0.34) Other @ 2.17% Total : 63.84%	1-1 @ 10.16% ( -1.07) 0-0 @ 6.87% ( -1.34) 2-2 @ 3.76% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.68% Total : 21.47%	0-1 @ 5.35% ( -1.29) 1-2 @ 3.96% ( -0.59) 0-2 @ 2.09% ( -0.61) 1-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.2) 2-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.06) Other @ 1.28% Total : 14.68%