MX23RW : Tuesday, March 19 08:34:43| >> :600:207963:207963:
AZ Alkmaar
Europa Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 11, 2022 at 8pm UK
AFAS Stadion
Dundee United
AZ
7 - 0
Dundee Utd
Pavlidis (21', 36'), Reijnders (31', 41'), Evjen (44'), de Wit (46'), Lahdo (74')
Clasie (64')
FT(HT: 5-0)
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between AZ Alkmaar and Dundee United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: AZ Alkmaar 3-0 Dundee United (AZ Alkmaar to win 3-1 on aggregate)

Holding a slender lead, it will be difficult for Dundee United not to adopt a defensive strategy in order to get over the line. However, that is something which will likely not work in their favour, and we expect to see AZ run out comfortable victors on the night and in the tie. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 57.3%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Dundee United had a probability of 16.62%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.83%) and 2-1 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.47%), while for a Dundee United win it was 0-1 (7.64%). The actual scoreline of 7-0 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.

Result
AZ AlkmaarDrawDundee United
57.3% (-0.168 -0.17) 26.09% (0.068000000000001 0.07) 16.62% (0.099999999999998 0.1)
Both teams to score 38.04% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.05% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)62.95% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.57% (-0.062999999999999 -0.06)82.43% (0.060999999999993 0.06)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.74% (-0.107 -0.11)22.26% (0.106 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.3% (-0.159 -0.16)55.7% (0.159 0.16)
Dundee United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.93% (0.081000000000003 0.08)51.07% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.61% (0.055 0.05)85.39% (-0.056999999999988 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    AZ Alkmaar 57.29%
    Dundee United 16.62%
    Draw 26.07%
AZ AlkmaarDrawDundee United
1-0 @ 17.07%
2-0 @ 12.83% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 8.62% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.43% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
3-1 @ 4.32% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.41% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.62% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.45% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 57.29%
1-1 @ 11.47% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 11.36% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-2 @ 2.9% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 26.07%
0-1 @ 7.64% (0.042 0.04)
1-2 @ 3.86% (0.018 0.02)
0-2 @ 2.57% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 16.62%

How you voted: AZ vs Dundee Utd

AZ Alkmaar
65.0%
Draw
10.0%
Dundee United
25.0%
20
Head to Head
Aug 4, 2022 8pm
Dundee Utd
1-0
AZ
Middleton (61')
Fletcher (32'), Sibbald (50'), Middleton (76'), Edwards (90+2')

Hatzidiakos (25'), Beukema (59')
rhs 2.0
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