Eredivisie | Gameweek 1

Aug 7, 2022 at 3.45pm UK

AFAS Stadion

AZ
2 - 0
Go Ahead Eagles

Pavlidis (70'), van Brederode (86')
de Wit (80')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Adekanye (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between AZ Alkmaar and Go Ahead Eagles, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AZ Alkmaar

Last Six:

Last Game: Dundee Utd 1-0 AZ
Thursday, August 4 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
7	Sparta Rotterdam	1	0	1
8	AZ Alkmaar	0	0	0
9	FC Twente	0	0	0

Go Ahead Eagles

Last Six:

Last Game: Heerenveen 3-1 Go Ahead Eagles
Sunday, May 15 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
11	Feyenoord	0	0	0
12	Go Ahead Eagles	0	0	0
13	Groningen	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 62.44%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 16.54%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.86%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.97%), while for a Go Ahead Eagles win it was 0-1 (5.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.

Result
AZ Alkmaar	Draw	Go Ahead Eagles
62.44% ( 0.79)	21.01% ( -0.13)	16.54% ( -0.65)

Both teams to score 51.68% (

-0.93)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.46% (

-0.55)

44.54% (

0.55)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.09% (

-0.53)

66.9% (

0.54)

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.32% (

0.07)

13.67% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.11% (

0.13)

40.88% (

-0.12)

Go Ahead Eagles Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.87% (

-1.12)

40.13% (

1.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.23% (

-1.04)

76.77% (

1.04)

Score Analysis

AZ Alkmaar 62.43%

Go Ahead Eagles 16.54%

Draw 21.01%

AZ Alkmaar	Draw	Go Ahead Eagles
1-0 @ 10.91% ( 0.28) 2-0 @ 10.86% ( 0.31) 2-1 @ 9.92% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 7.2% ( 0.22) 3-1 @ 6.58% 4-0 @ 3.58% ( 0.12) 4-1 @ 3.27% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3% ( -0.09) 4-2 @ 1.49% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 1.43% ( 0.05) 5-1 @ 1.3% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.89% Total : 62.43%	1-1 @ 9.97% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.49% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 4.53% ( -0.15) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.11% Total : 21.01%	0-1 @ 5.01% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 4.55% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 2.29% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.09) Other @ 1.93% Total : 16.54%