Eredivisie | 1st Leg

May 26, 2022 at 7pm UK

GelreDome

Vitesse
2 - 1
AZ

(AZ Alkmaar win 7-3 on aggregate)

Buitink (22'), Openda (86')
Hajek (49')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Clasie (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Eredivisie clash between Vitesse and AZ Alkmaar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vitesse

Last Six:

Last Game: AZ 6-1 Vitesse
Sunday, May 29 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
5	AZ Alkmaar	33	22	61
6	Vitesse	33	-9	50
7	FC Utrecht	33	8	47

AZ Alkmaar

Last Six:

Last Game: AZ 6-1 Vitesse
Sunday, May 29 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
4	FC Twente	33	17	65
5	AZ Alkmaar	33	22	61
6	Vitesse	33	-9	50

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 38.02%. A win for Vitesse had a probability of 37.86% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.28%) and 0-2 (5.54%). The likeliest Vitesse win was 2-1 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.

Result
Vitesse	Draw	AZ Alkmaar
37.86%	24.12%	38.02%

Both teams to score 61.04%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.57%

41.43%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.17%

63.83%

Vitesse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.09%

21.91%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.82%

55.18%

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.17%

21.83%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.95%

55.05%

Score Analysis

Vitesse 37.86%

AZ Alkmaar 38.02%

Draw 24.12%

Vitesse	Draw	AZ Alkmaar
2-1 @ 8.39% 1-0 @ 7.26% 2-0 @ 5.51% 3-1 @ 4.25% 3-2 @ 3.23% 3-0 @ 2.79% 4-1 @ 1.61% 4-2 @ 1.23% 4-0 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.53% Total : 37.86%	1-1 @ 11.05% 2-2 @ 6.38% 0-0 @ 4.78% 3-3 @ 1.64% Other @ 0.26% Total : 24.12%	1-2 @ 8.41% 0-1 @ 7.28% 0-2 @ 5.54% 1-3 @ 4.27% 2-3 @ 3.24% 0-3 @ 2.81% 1-4 @ 1.62% 2-4 @ 1.23% 0-4 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.55% Total : 38.02%