Coverage of the Eredivisie clash between AZ Alkmaar and Heerenveen.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: AZ 6-1 Vitesse
Sunday, May 29 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Sunday, May 29 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | FC Twente | 33 | 17 | 65 |
| 5 | AZ Alkmaar | 33 | 22 | 61 |
| 6 | Vitesse | 33 | -9 | 50 |
Last Game: AZ 2-0 Heerenveen
Sunday, May 22 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Sunday, May 22 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | NEC | 33 | -13 | 38 |
| 9 | Heerenveen | 33 | -15 | 38 |
| 10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 33 | -12 | 36 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 62.76%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Heerenveen had a probability of 16.32%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.93%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.93%), while for a Heerenveen win it was 0-1 (4.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.
| Result | ||
| AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Heerenveen |
62.76% ( 2.17) | 20.92% ( -0.56) | 16.32% ( -1.61) |
| Both teams to score 51.5% ( -1.51) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
