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| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | NEC | 33 | -13 | 38 |
| 9 | Heerenveen | 33 | -15 | 38 |
| 10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 33 | -12 | 36 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Groningen | 33 | -13 | 36 |
| 12 | Cambuur | 33 | -18 | 36 |
| 13 | RKC Waalwijk | 33 | -13 | 35 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 51.98%. A win for Cambuur had a probability of 24.34% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (8.72%). The likeliest Cambuur win was 0-1 (6.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Heerenveen | Draw | Cambuur |
| 51.98% | 23.68% | 24.34% |
| Both teams to score 55.36% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.28% | 45.72% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.96% | 68.04% |
| Heerenveen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.41% | 17.59% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.85% | 48.15% |
| Cambuur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.17% | 32.83% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.6% | 69.4% |
| Score Analysis |
| Heerenveen | Draw | Cambuur |
| 1-0 @ 10.03% 2-1 @ 9.71% 2-0 @ 8.72% 3-1 @ 5.63% 3-0 @ 5.05% 3-2 @ 3.13% 4-1 @ 2.45% 4-0 @ 2.2% 4-2 @ 1.36% Other @ 3.7% Total : 51.98% | 1-1 @ 11.17% 0-0 @ 5.77% 2-2 @ 5.41% 3-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.67% | 0-1 @ 6.43% 1-2 @ 6.23% 0-2 @ 3.58% 1-3 @ 2.31% 2-3 @ 2.01% 0-3 @ 1.33% Other @ 2.45% Total : 24.34% |