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| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | NEC | 33 | -13 | 38 |
| 9 | Heerenveen | 33 | -15 | 38 |
| 10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 33 | -12 | 36 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 33 | -12 | 36 |
| 11 | Groningen | 33 | -13 | 36 |
| 12 | Cambuur | 33 | -18 | 36 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 44.78%. A win for Groningen had a probability of 29.27% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Groningen win was 0-1 (8.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heerenveen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Heerenveen | Draw | Groningen |
| 44.78% | 25.94% | 29.27% |
| Both teams to score 52.21% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.22% | 51.78% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.45% | 73.55% |
| Heerenveen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.95% | 23.05% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.13% | 56.87% |
| Groningen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.85% | 32.15% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.37% | 68.63% |
| Score Analysis |
| Heerenveen | Draw | Groningen |
| 1-0 @ 10.87% 2-1 @ 9.06% 2-0 @ 7.98% 3-1 @ 4.43% 3-0 @ 3.9% 3-2 @ 2.51% 4-1 @ 1.63% 4-0 @ 1.43% 4-2 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.05% Total : 44.78% | 1-1 @ 12.34% 0-0 @ 7.41% 2-2 @ 5.14% 3-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.94% | 0-1 @ 8.41% 1-2 @ 7% 0-2 @ 4.77% 1-3 @ 2.65% 2-3 @ 1.94% 0-3 @ 1.81% Other @ 2.7% Total : 29.27% |