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Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
4 | FC Twente | 33 | 17 | 65 |
5 | AZ Alkmaar | 33 | 22 | 61 |
6 | Vitesse | 33 | -9 | 50 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
12 | Cambuur | 33 | -18 | 36 |
13 | RKC Waalwijk | 33 | -13 | 35 |
14 | Heracles | 33 | -14 | 34 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 70.33%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 11.35%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.71%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.71%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 0-1 (4%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
AZ Alkmaar | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
70.33% ( 2.09) | 18.31% ( -0.76) | 11.35% ( -1.33) |
Both teams to score 46.51% ( -1.69) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.94% ( 0.01) | 44.05% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.56% ( 0.01) | 66.44% ( -0.02) |
AZ Alkmaar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.7% ( 0.56) | 11.3% ( -0.57) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
64.06% ( 1.22) | 35.94% ( -1.23) |
RKC Waalwijk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
52.44% ( -2.25) | 47.55% ( 2.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.09% ( -1.73) | 82.9% ( 1.72) |
Score Analysis |
AZ Alkmaar | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
2-0 @ 12.77% ( 0.56) 1-0 @ 11.71% ( 0.25) 2-1 @ 9.49% ( -0.18) 3-0 @ 9.28% ( 0.61) 3-1 @ 6.9% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 5.06% ( 0.44) 4-1 @ 3.76% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 2.56% ( -0.16) 5-0 @ 2.21% ( 0.24) 5-1 @ 1.64% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 1.4% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.53% Total : 70.32% | 1-1 @ 8.71% ( -0.37) 0-0 @ 5.37% ( -0) 2-2 @ 3.53% ( -0.3) Other @ 0.7% Total : 18.31% | 0-1 @ 4% ( -0.26) 1-2 @ 3.24% ( -0.36) 0-2 @ 1.49% ( -0.2) Other @ 2.64% Total : 11.35% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 30 | 26 | 3 | 1 | 95 | 17 | 78 | 81 |
2 | Feyenoord | 30 | 22 | 6 | 2 | 77 | 23 | 54 | 72 |
3 | FC Twente | 31 | 19 | 6 | 6 | 59 | 31 | 28 | 63 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 59 | 35 | 24 | 55 |
5 | Ajax | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 65 | 58 | 7 | 49 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 30 | 12 | 11 | 7 | 59 | 44 | 15 | 47 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 43 | 41 | 2 | 45 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 44 | 39 | 5 | 42 |
9 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 45 | 43 | 2 | 40 |
10 | Heerenveen | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 50 | 56 | -6 | 36 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 34 | 52 | -18 | 35 |
12 | Almere CityAlmere City | 31 | 7 | 12 | 12 | 31 | 51 | -20 | 33 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 40 | 58 | -18 | 32 |
14 | Heracles | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 40 | 62 | -22 | 32 |
15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 31 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 46 | 66 | -20 | 26 |
16 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 24 |
17 | FC VolendamVolendam | 30 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 30 | 74 | -44 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 30 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 22 | 68 | -46 | -1 |
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