Eredivisie | Gameweek 30

May 15, 2022 at 1.30pm UK

AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar

AZ
1 - 3
RKC Waalwijk

de Wit (45+1')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Stokkers (18'), Gaari (64'), Kuijpers (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between AZ Alkmaar and RKC Waalwijk, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AZ Alkmaar

Last Six:

Last Game: AZ 6-1 Vitesse
Sunday, May 29 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
4	FC Twente	33	17	65
5	AZ Alkmaar	33	22	61
6	Vitesse	33	-9	50

RKC Waalwijk

Last Six:

Last Game: AZ 1-3 RKC Waalwijk
Sunday, May 15 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
12	Cambuur	33	-18	36
13	RKC Waalwijk	33	-13	35
14	Heracles	33	-14	34

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 70.33%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 11.35%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.71%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.71%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 0-1 (4%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.

Result
AZ Alkmaar	Draw	RKC Waalwijk
70.33% ( 2.09)	18.31% ( -0.76)	11.35% ( -1.33)

Both teams to score 46.51% (

-1.69)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.94% (

0.01)

44.05% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.56% (

0.01)

66.44% (

-0.02)

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.7% (

0.56)

11.3% (

-0.57)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.06% (

1.22)

35.94% (

-1.23)

RKC Waalwijk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.44% (

-2.25)

47.55% (

2.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.09% (

-1.73)

82.9% (

1.72)

Score Analysis

AZ Alkmaar 70.32%

RKC Waalwijk 11.35%

Draw 18.31%

AZ Alkmaar	Draw	RKC Waalwijk
2-0 @ 12.77% ( 0.56) 1-0 @ 11.71% ( 0.25) 2-1 @ 9.49% ( -0.18) 3-0 @ 9.28% ( 0.61) 3-1 @ 6.9% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 5.06% ( 0.44) 4-1 @ 3.76% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 2.56% ( -0.16) 5-0 @ 2.21% ( 0.24) 5-1 @ 1.64% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 1.4% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.53% Total : 70.32%	1-1 @ 8.71% ( -0.37) 0-0 @ 5.37% ( -0) 2-2 @ 3.53% ( -0.3) Other @ 0.7% Total : 18.31%	0-1 @ 4% ( -0.26) 1-2 @ 3.24% ( -0.36) 0-2 @ 1.49% ( -0.2) Other @ 2.64% Total : 11.35%