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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 76.35%. A draw had a probability of 14.1% and a win for had a probability of 9.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (8.93%) and 2-1 (8.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.28%), while for a win it was 1-2 (2.87%).
| Result | ||
| AZ Alkmaar | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
| 76.35% | 14.08% | 9.57% |
| Both teams to score 56.19% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 71.49% | 28.51% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 50.62% | 49.38% |
| AZ Alkmaar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.86% | 6.15% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 76.71% | 23.29% |
| RKC Waalwijk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.87% | 40.13% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.23% | 76.77% |
| Score Analysis |
| AZ Alkmaar | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
| 2-0 @ 9.6% 3-0 @ 8.93% 2-1 @ 8.76% 3-1 @ 8.15% 1-0 @ 6.88% 4-0 @ 6.23% 4-1 @ 5.69% 3-2 @ 3.72% 5-0 @ 3.48% 5-1 @ 3.17% 4-2 @ 2.6% 6-0 @ 1.62% 6-1 @ 1.48% 5-2 @ 1.45% Other @ 4.61% Total : 76.35% | 1-1 @ 6.28% 2-2 @ 4% 0-0 @ 2.47% 3-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 0.2% Total : 14.08% | 1-2 @ 2.87% 0-1 @ 2.25% 2-3 @ 1.22% 0-2 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.21% Total : 9.57% |