Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RKC Waalwijk win with a probability of 53.79%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 22.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a RKC Waalwijk win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.72%) and 2-0 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.38%), while for a Heracles win it was 0-1 (6.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RKC Waalwijk would win this match.