Eredivisie | Gameweek 30

May 11, 2022 at 7pm UK

Mandemakers Stadion

RKC Waalwijk
2 - 0
Heracles

Kramer (20'), van der Venne (59')
Oukili (76'), Touba (90+1')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Eredivisie clash between RKC Waalwijk and Heracles, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

RKC Waalwijk

Last Six:

Last Game: AZ 1-3 RKC Waalwijk
Sunday, May 15 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
12	Cambuur	33	-18	36
13	RKC Waalwijk	33	-13	35
14	Heracles	33	-14	34

Heracles

Last Six:

Last Game: Heracles 1-3 SBV Excelsior
Saturday, May 21 at 7pm in Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
13	RKC Waalwijk	33	-13	35
14	Heracles	33	-14	34
15	Sparta Rotterdam	33	-20	32

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RKC Waalwijk win with a probability of 53.79%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 22.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a RKC Waalwijk win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.72%) and 2-0 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.38%), while for a Heracles win it was 0-1 (6.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RKC Waalwijk would win this match.

Result
RKC Waalwijk	Draw	Heracles
53.79% ( 3.29)	23.95% ( -1.42)	22.25% ( -1.87)

Both teams to score 51.97% (

2.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51% (

3.9)

49% (

-3.9)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.92% (

3.43)

71.08% (

-3.43)

RKC Waalwijk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.87% (

2.83)

18.13% (

-2.83)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.91% (

4.62)

49.09% (

-4.62)

Heracles Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.48% (

0.43)

36.52% (

-0.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.69% (

0.43)

73.3% (

-0.44)

Score Analysis

RKC Waalwijk 53.79%

Heracles 22.25%

Draw 23.94%

RKC Waalwijk	Draw	Heracles
1-0 @ 11.3% ( -0.8) 2-1 @ 9.72% ( 0.31) 2-0 @ 9.65% ( 0.2) 3-1 @ 5.54% ( 0.63) 3-0 @ 5.49% ( 0.57) 3-2 @ 2.79% ( 0.35) 4-1 @ 2.36% ( 0.45) 4-0 @ 2.35% ( 0.42) 4-2 @ 1.19% ( 0.24) Other @ 3.4% Total : 53.79%	1-1 @ 11.38% ( -0.66) 0-0 @ 6.62% ( -1.12) 2-2 @ 4.9% ( 0.21) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.13) Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.94%	0-1 @ 6.67% ( -1.04) 1-2 @ 5.74% ( -0.26) 0-2 @ 3.36% ( -0.48) 1-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.65% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.15) Other @ 1.78% Total : 22.25%