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| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Cambuur | 33 | -18 | 36 |
| 13 | RKC Waalwijk | 33 | -13 | 35 |
| 14 | Heracles | 33 | -14 | 34 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 33 | -12 | 36 |
| 11 | Groningen | 33 | -13 | 36 |
| 12 | Cambuur | 33 | -18 | 36 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 39.39%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 35.85% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.2%) and 0-2 (6.11%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 2-1 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that RKC Waalwijk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| RKC Waalwijk | Draw | Groningen |
| 35.85% | 24.76% | 39.39% |
| Both teams to score 58.53% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.38% | 44.63% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.01% | 66.99% |
| RKC Waalwijk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.58% | 24.42% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.15% | 58.85% |
| Groningen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.44% | 22.56% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.85% | 56.15% |
| Score Analysis |
| RKC Waalwijk | Draw | Groningen |
| 2-1 @ 8.15% 1-0 @ 7.77% 2-0 @ 5.48% 3-1 @ 3.83% 3-2 @ 2.85% 3-0 @ 2.57% 4-1 @ 1.35% 4-2 @ 1.01% 4-0 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.94% Total : 35.85% | 1-1 @ 11.56% 2-2 @ 6.07% 0-0 @ 5.51% 3-3 @ 1.42% Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.76% | 1-2 @ 8.61% 0-1 @ 8.2% 0-2 @ 6.11% 1-3 @ 4.27% 0-3 @ 3.03% 2-3 @ 3.01% 1-4 @ 1.59% 0-4 @ 1.13% 2-4 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.31% Total : 39.39% |