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| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 33 | -12 | 36 |
| 11 | Groningen | 33 | -13 | 36 |
| 12 | Cambuur | 33 | -18 | 36 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | RKC Waalwijk | 33 | -13 | 35 |
| 14 | Heracles | 33 | -14 | 34 |
| 15 | Sparta Rotterdam | 33 | -20 | 32 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 57.3%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 18.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.33%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.34%), while for a Heracles win it was 0-1 (6.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Groningen | Draw | Heracles |
| 57.3% | 24.07% | 18.63% |
| Both teams to score 46.36% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.27% | 53.73% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.78% | 75.21% |
| Groningen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.41% | 18.59% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.14% | 49.86% |
| Heracles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.94% | 43.06% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.66% | 79.34% |
| Score Analysis |
| Groningen | Draw | Heracles |
| 1-0 @ 13.46% 2-0 @ 11.33% 2-1 @ 9.55% 3-0 @ 6.36% 3-1 @ 5.36% 4-0 @ 2.67% 3-2 @ 2.26% 4-1 @ 2.25% 4-2 @ 0.95% Other @ 3.12% Total : 57.3% | 1-1 @ 11.34% 0-0 @ 8% 2-2 @ 4.02% Other @ 0.69% Total : 24.06% | 0-1 @ 6.74% 1-2 @ 4.78% 0-2 @ 2.84% 1-3 @ 1.34% 2-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 1.79% Total : 18.63% |