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| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | NEC | 33 | -13 | 38 |
| 9 | Heerenveen | 33 | -15 | 38 |
| 10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 33 | -12 | 36 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Heerenveen | 33 | -15 | 38 |
| 10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 33 | -12 | 36 |
| 11 | Groningen | 33 | -13 | 36 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 50.08%. A win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 25.32% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 2-0 (8.77%). The likeliest Go Ahead Eagles win was 0-1 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Heerenveen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Heerenveen | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
| 50.08% ( | 24.6% ( | 25.32% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.4% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.2% ( | 48.79% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.1% ( | 70.89% ( |
| Heerenveen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.49% ( | 19.5% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.61% ( | 51.38% ( |
| Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.33% ( | 33.66% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.68% ( | 70.31% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Heerenveen | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
| 1-0 @ 10.73% ( 2-1 @ 9.55% ( 2-0 @ 8.77% ( 3-1 @ 5.2% ( 3-0 @ 4.78% ( 3-2 @ 2.83% ( 4-1 @ 2.13% ( 4-0 @ 1.95% ( 4-2 @ 1.16% ( Other @ 2.97% Total : 50.07% | 1-1 @ 11.68% ( 0-0 @ 6.57% ( 2-2 @ 5.2% ( 3-3 @ 1.03% ( Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.59% | 0-1 @ 7.15% ( 1-2 @ 6.36% ( 0-2 @ 3.89% ( 1-3 @ 2.31% ( 2-3 @ 1.89% ( 0-3 @ 1.41% ( Other @ 2.32% Total : 25.32% |