Hearts logo
Scottish League Cup | Second Round
Aug 31, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Tynecastle Park
Kilmarnock logo

Hearts
0 - 1
Kilmarnock

FT(HT: 0-1)
Cameron (21')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Scottish League Cup clash between Hearts and Kilmarnock, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hearts

Last Six:
Last Game: Hearts 3-2 St Johnstone
Sunday, August 28 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Kilmarnock

Last Six:
Last Game: Kilmarnock 2-1 Motherwell
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 46.34%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 28.13% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (8.2%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 0-1 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.

Result
HeartsDrawKilmarnock
46.34% (0.247 0.25)25.54% (0.171 0.17)28.13% (-0.419 -0.42)
Both teams to score 52.76% (-0.829 -0.83)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.27% (-0.95099999999999 -0.95)50.73% (0.95 0.95)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.37% (-0.846 -0.85)72.63% (0.846 0.85)
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.11% (-0.286 -0.29)21.89% (0.286 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.86% (-0.437 -0.44)55.14% (0.435 0.43)
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.54% (-0.80999999999999 -0.81)32.46% (0.81 0.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.02% (-0.921 -0.92)68.98% (0.922 0.92)
Score Analysis
    Hearts 46.33%
    Kilmarnock 28.13%
    Draw 25.53%
HeartsDrawKilmarnock
1-0 @ 10.79% (0.32 0.32)
2-1 @ 9.23% (-0.0089999999999986 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.2% (0.172 0.17)
3-1 @ 4.67% (-0.046 -0.05)
3-0 @ 4.15% (0.052 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.63% (-0.085 -0.09)
4-1 @ 1.78% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.58% (0.006 0.01)
4-2 @ 1% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 46.33%
1-1 @ 12.14% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 7.1% (0.268 0.27)
2-2 @ 5.19% (-0.122 -0.12)
3-3 @ 0.99% (-0.055 -0.05)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.53%
0-1 @ 7.99% (0.129 0.13)
1-2 @ 6.83% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-2 @ 4.5% (-0.027 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.56% (-0.096 -0.1)
2-3 @ 1.95% (-0.091 -0.09)
0-3 @ 1.69% (-0.048 -0.05)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 28.13%

How you voted: Hearts vs Kilmarnock

Hearts
81.3%
Draw
6.3%
Kilmarnock
12.5%
16
Head to Head
Feb 5, 2020 7.45pm
Hearts
2-3
Kilmarnock
Clare (79' pen.), Halkett (89')
Clare (35'), Souttar (48'), Naismith (65'), Irving (86')
Findlay (24'), Burke (38'), Brophy (50')
Power (52'), Branescu (78')
Branescu (80')
> Match Report
Nov 23, 2019 3pm
Kilmarnock
3-0
Hearts
Burke (9', 16'), Brophy (14')
El Makrini (62')
> Match Report
Oct 5, 2019 3pm
Hearts
0-1
Kilmarnock
Burke (42')
El Makrini (68'), Branescu (91')
> Match Report
May 4, 2019 3pm
Hearts
0-1
Kilmarnock

MacLean (43'), Smith (59'), Edwards (68')
Findlay (86')
Dicker (27'), Power (42'), Taylor (82'), Mulumbu (87'), O'Donnell (90')
> Match Report
Feb 1, 2019 7.45pm
Kilmarnock
1-2
Hearts
Jones (45' pen.)
Jones (42'), Tshibola (89'), Ndjoli (95')
Clare (38'), Naismith (43')
Berra (72'), Clare (84')
> Match Report