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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 3
Aug 14, 2022 at 12pm UK
Rugby Park
Celtic logo

Kilmarnock
0 - 5
Celtic


McKenzie (21'), Donnelly (42'), Lafferty (60'), Armstrong (78')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Furuhashi (7'), Jota (35'), Jenz (45+1'), Starfelt (76'), Giakoumakis (82')
Maeda (61'), McGregor (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Scottish Premiership clash between Kilmarnock and Celtic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 60.8%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 18.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.44%) and 0-1 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.59%), while for a Kilmarnock win it was 2-1 (5.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.

Result
KilmarnockDrawCeltic
18.52% (-0.414 -0.41)20.68% (-0.298 -0.3)60.8% (0.715 0.72)
Both teams to score 56.89% (0.26900000000001 0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.38% (0.719 0.72)39.61% (-0.716 -0.72)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.03% (0.742 0.74)61.96% (-0.74 -0.74)
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.09% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)34.9% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.36% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)71.64% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Celtic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.39% (0.434 0.43)12.61% (-0.432 -0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.28% (0.89 0.89)38.72% (-0.887 -0.89)
Score Analysis
    Kilmarnock 18.52%
    Celtic 60.8%
    Draw 20.68%
KilmarnockDrawCeltic
2-1 @ 5.05% (-0.09 -0.09)
1-0 @ 4.63% (-0.158 -0.16)
2-0 @ 2.44% (-0.085 -0.09)
3-2 @ 1.83% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 1.77% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 18.52%
1-1 @ 9.59% (-0.167 -0.17)
2-2 @ 5.23% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.4% (-0.148 -0.15)
3-3 @ 1.27% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 20.68%
1-2 @ 9.93% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
0-2 @ 9.44% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-1 @ 9.11% (-0.154 -0.15)
1-3 @ 6.86% (0.105 0.11)
0-3 @ 6.51% (0.104 0.1)
2-3 @ 3.61% (0.054 0.05)
1-4 @ 3.55% (0.112 0.11)
0-4 @ 3.37% (0.107 0.11)
2-4 @ 1.87% (0.058 0.06)
1-5 @ 1.47% (0.07 0.07)
0-5 @ 1.4% (0.066 0.07)
Other @ 3.69%
Total : 60.8%

How you voted: Kilmarnock vs Celtic

Kilmarnock
5.9%
Draw
17.6%
Celtic
76.5%
34
Head to Head
Feb 2, 2021 7.45pm
Kilmarnock
0-4
Celtic

Tshibola (36')
Brown (29'), Edouard (52' pen., 62'), Ajeti (86')
Dec 13, 2020 3pm
Aug 9, 2020 4.30pm
Kilmarnock
1-1
Celtic
Burke (24' pen.)
Dicker (10'), Power (35')
Christie (11')
Brown (72')
Feb 23, 2020 3pm
Celtic
3-1
Kilmarnock
Ajer (28'), Edouard (33'), Griffiths (62')
McGregor (67')
Brophy (6' pen.)
El Makrini (21'), Power (45')
Power (57')
Jan 22, 2020 7.45pm
Kilmarnock
1-3
Celtic
Kabamba (66')
Dicker (60')
Edouard (25'), Griffiths (51'), Jullien (73')
Ntcham (57'), Bauer (95')