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Kilmarnock logo
Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 3
Aug 14, 2022 at 12pm UK
Rugby Park
Celtic logo
Kilmarnock
0 - 5
Celtic

McKenzie (21'), Donnelly (42'), Lafferty (60'), Armstrong (78')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Furuhashi (7'), Jota (35'), Jenz (45+1'), Starfelt (76'), Giakoumakis (82')
Maeda (61'), McGregor (85')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Scottish Premiership clash between Kilmarnock and Celtic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rangers 2-0 Kilmarnock
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Ross County 1-3 Celtic
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Kilmarnock 1-3 Celtic

Celtic usually fare well against Kilmarnock, and we think that the Scottish champions will cruise past the newly-promoted side to begin the season with three consecutive victories. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 60.8%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 18.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.44%) and 0-1 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.59%), while for a Kilmarnock win it was 2-1 (5.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.

Result
KilmarnockDrawCeltic
18.52% (-0.414 -0.41) 20.68% (-0.298 -0.3) 60.8% (0.715 0.72)
Both teams to score 56.89% (0.26900000000001 0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.38% (0.719 0.72)39.61% (-0.716 -0.72)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.03% (0.742 0.74)61.96% (-0.74 -0.74)
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.09% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)34.9% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.36% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)71.64% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Celtic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.39% (0.434 0.43)12.61% (-0.432 -0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.28% (0.89 0.89)38.72% (-0.887 -0.89)
Score Analysis
    Kilmarnock 18.52%
    Celtic 60.8%
    Draw 20.68%
KilmarnockDrawCeltic
2-1 @ 5.05% (-0.09 -0.09)
1-0 @ 4.63% (-0.158 -0.16)
2-0 @ 2.44% (-0.085 -0.09)
3-2 @ 1.83% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 1.77% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 18.52%
1-1 @ 9.59% (-0.167 -0.17)
2-2 @ 5.23% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.4% (-0.148 -0.15)
3-3 @ 1.27% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 20.68%
1-2 @ 9.93% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
0-2 @ 9.44% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-1 @ 9.11% (-0.154 -0.15)
1-3 @ 6.86% (0.105 0.11)
0-3 @ 6.51% (0.104 0.1)
2-3 @ 3.61% (0.054 0.05)
1-4 @ 3.55% (0.112 0.11)
0-4 @ 3.37% (0.107 0.11)
2-4 @ 1.87% (0.058 0.06)
1-5 @ 1.47% (0.07 0.07)
0-5 @ 1.4% (0.066 0.07)
Other @ 3.69%
Total : 60.8%

How you voted: Kilmarnock vs Celtic

Kilmarnock
5.9%
Draw
17.6%
Celtic
76.5%
34
Head to Head
Feb 2, 2021 7.45pm
Kilmarnock
0-4
Celtic

Tshibola (36')
Brown (29'), Edouard (52' pen., 62'), Ajeti (86')
Dec 13, 2020 3pm
Aug 9, 2020 4.30pm
Kilmarnock
1-1
Celtic
Burke (24' pen.)
Dicker (10'), Power (35')
Christie (11')
Brown (72')
Feb 23, 2020 3pm
Celtic
3-1
Kilmarnock
Ajer (28'), Edouard (33'), Griffiths (62')
McGregor (67')
Brophy (6' pen.)
El Makrini (21'), Power (45')
Power (57')
Jan 22, 2020 7.45pm
Kilmarnock
1-3
Celtic
Kabamba (66')
Dicker (60')
Edouard (25'), Griffiths (51'), Jullien (73')
Ntcham (57'), Bauer (95')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic30225371234871
2RangersRangers29231564164870
3Hearts3017493930955
4Kilmarnock30111183933644
5St Mirren30126123637-142
6Hibernian30911104145-438
7Dundee2999114050-1036
8Motherwell30711124147-632
9Aberdeen3079143348-1530
10St Johnstone30610142141-2028
11Ross County3069152851-2327
12Livingston3038192052-3217

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