Scottish Premiership

Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 5

Aug 28, 2022 at 3pm UK

Tynecastle

Hearts
3 - 2
St Johnstone

Rowles (25'), Boyce (31'), Shankland (81' pen.)

FT(HT: 2-1)

Carey (6'), Considine (54')
Murphy (15'), Phillips (45'), Crawford (66'), Considine (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Scottish Premiership clash between Hearts and St Johnstone, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hearts

Last Six:

Last Game: Hearts 0-1 FC Zurich
Thursday, August 25 at 8pm in Europa League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
5	St Mirren	5	1	9
6	Hearts	4	2	7
7	Livingston	5	-5	6

St Johnstone

Last Six:

Last Game: St Johnstone 0-1 Aberdeen
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
9	Kilmarnock	5	-7	4
10	St Johnstone	4	-5	3
11	Ross County	5	-7	3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 62.46%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for St Johnstone had a probability of 16.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.81%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.94%), while for a St Johnstone win it was 0-1 (4.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.

Result
Hearts	Draw	St Johnstone
62.46% ( 0.66)	20.97% ( -0.22)	16.57% ( -0.43)

Both teams to score 51.88% (

-0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.7% (

0.23)

44.29% (

-0.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.33% (

0.22)

66.67% (

-0.22)

Hearts Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.4% (

0.27)

13.59% (

-0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.28% (

0.54)

40.72% (

-0.54)

St Johnstone Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.04% (

-0.39)

39.95% (

0.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.39% (

-0.36)

76.61% (

0.36)

Score Analysis

Hearts 62.45%

St Johnstone 16.57%

Draw 20.97%

Hearts	Draw	St Johnstone
1-0 @ 10.83% 2-0 @ 10.81% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 9.92% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 7.19% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 6.6% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 3.59% ( 0.11) 4-1 @ 3.29% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 3.03% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.51% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.43% ( 0.06) 5-1 @ 1.31% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.93% Total : 62.45%	1-1 @ 9.94% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 5.43% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.55% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 20.97%	0-1 @ 4.98% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 4.56% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 2.29% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.95% Total : 16.57%