Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 62.46%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for St Johnstone had a probability of 16.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.81%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.94%), while for a St Johnstone win it was 0-1 (4.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.