Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Johnstone win with a probability of 68.82%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Elgin City had a probability of 12.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Johnstone win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12%) and 1-2 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.06%), while for a Elgin City win it was 1-0 (4.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Johnstone would win this match.

Result
Elgin City	Draw	St Johnstone
12.12% ( -1.08)	19.06% ( -0.93)	68.82% ( 2.01)

Both teams to score 46.56% (

-0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.66% (

1.47)

45.34% (

-1.47)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.32% (

1.39)

67.68% (

-1.39)

Elgin City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.96% (

-0.83)

47.04% (

0.83)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.48% (

-0.63)

82.51% (

0.63)

St Johnstone Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.92% (

1.01)

12.08% (

-1.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.39% (

2.09)

37.61% (

-2.1)

Score Analysis

Elgin City 12.12%

St Johnstone 68.81%

Draw 19.06%

Elgin City	Draw	St Johnstone
1-0 @ 4.29% ( -0.38) 2-1 @ 3.42% ( -0.25) 2-0 @ 1.62% ( -0.19) 3-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.9% Total : 12.12%	1-1 @ 9.06% ( -0.44) 0-0 @ 5.68% ( -0.37) 2-2 @ 3.61% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.71% Total : 19.06%	0-2 @ 12.69% ( 0.19) 0-1 @ 12% ( -0.29) 1-2 @ 9.57% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 8.94% ( 0.47) 1-3 @ 6.75% ( 0.2) 0-4 @ 4.73% ( 0.42) 1-4 @ 3.56% ( 0.24) 2-3 @ 2.54% ( 0.02) 0-5 @ 2% ( 0.25) 1-5 @ 1.51% ( 0.15) 2-4 @ 1.34% ( 0.06) Other @ 3.18% Total : 68.81%