Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Johnstone win with a probability of 38.88%. A win for Queen of the South had a probability of 33.26% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Johnstone win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.12%) and 0-2 (7.23%). The likeliest Queen of the South win was 1-0 (10.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.