Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 59.17%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Queen of the South had a probability of 18.51%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.56%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.6%), while for a Queen of the South win it was 0-1 (5.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.

Result
Ayr United	Draw	Queen of the South
59.17% ( 0.02)	22.32% ( 0)	18.51% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 51.35% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.05% (

-0.05)

46.94% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.8% (

-0.05)

69.19% (

0.05)

Ayr United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.49% (

-0.01)

15.5% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.59% (

-0.02)

44.4% (

0.02)

Queen of the South Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.78% (

-0.06)

39.22% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.07% (

-0.05)

75.93% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Ayr United 59.16%

Queen of the South 18.51%

Draw 22.31%

Ayr United	Draw	Queen of the South
1-0 @ 11.33% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 10.56% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.89% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.57% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.14% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.06% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.88% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.86% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.34% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.14% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.07% ( -0) Other @ 2.32% Total : 59.16%	1-1 @ 10.6% 0-0 @ 6.08% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.63% ( -0.01) Other @ 1% Total : 22.31%	0-1 @ 5.69% ( 0) 1-2 @ 4.97% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.66% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.55% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.44% ( -0) Other @ 2.2% Total : 18.51%