St Johnstone logo
Scottish League Cup | Group Stage
Jul 23, 2022 at 3pm UK
McDiarmid Park
Ayr United

St Johnstone
1 - 0
Ayr

Carey (2')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Ecrepont (77')
Coverage of the Scottish League Cup Group Stage clash between St Johnstone and Ayr United.

Form, Standings, Stats

St Johnstone

Last Six:
    Last Game: Elgin 2-4 St Johnstone
    Tuesday, July 19 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup

    Ayr United

    Last Six:
      Last Game: Annan 1-1 Ayr (5-4 pen.)
      Tuesday, July 19 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup

      Data Analysis

      Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Johnstone win with a probability of 54.79%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Ayr United had a probability of 20.43%.

      The most likely scoreline for a St Johnstone win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.73%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.69%), while for an Ayr United win it was 0-1 (7.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for St Johnstone in this match.

      Result
      St JohnstoneDrawAyr United
      54.79% (0.122 0.12)24.78% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)20.43% (-0.07 -0.07)
      Both teams to score 47.09% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
      Goals
      Over 2.5Under 2.5
      45.77% (0.108 0.11)54.23% (-0.105 -0.11)
      Over 3.5Under 3.5
      24.37% (0.091000000000001 0.09)75.63% (-0.088000000000008 -0.09)
      St Johnstone Goals
      Over 0.5Under 0.5
      80.26% (0.090999999999994 0.09)19.74% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
      Over 1.5Under 1.5
      48.23% (0.146 0.15)51.77% (-0.144 -0.14)
      Ayr United Goals
      Over 0.5Under 0.5
      58.67% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)41.33% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
      Over 1.5Under 1.5
      22.15% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)77.85% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
      Score Analysis
          St Johnstone 54.77%
          Ayr United 20.43%
          Draw 24.77%
      St JohnstoneDrawAyr United
      1-0 @ 13.23% (-0.02 -0.02)
      2-0 @ 10.73% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
      2-1 @ 9.49% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
      3-0 @ 5.81% (0.024 0.02)
      3-1 @ 5.13% (0.019 0.02)
      4-0 @ 2.36% (0.016 0.02)
      3-2 @ 2.27% (0.008 0.01)
      4-1 @ 2.08% (0.013 0.01)
      4-2 @ 0.92% (0.005 0.01)
      Other @ 2.76%
      Total : 54.77%
      		1-1 @ 11.69% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
      0-0 @ 8.16% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
      2-2 @ 4.19% (0.0030000000000001 0)
      Other @ 0.73%
      Total : 24.77%
      		0-1 @ 7.21% (-0.032 -0.03)
      1-2 @ 5.17% (-0.011 -0.01)
      0-2 @ 3.19% (-0.016 -0.02)
      1-3 @ 1.52% (-0.004 -0)
      2-3 @ 1.24% (0.0010000000000001 0)
      0-3 @ 0.94% (-0.005 -0.01)
      Other @ 1.18%
      Total : 20.43%

      Head to Head
      Feb 8, 2020 3pm
      Ayr
      1-2
      St Johnstone
      Drinan (4')
      Muirhead (23'), Gillespie (58')
      Muirhead (26')
      Muirhead (18' og.), Hendry (27')
      > Match Report