Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 47.86%. A win for Dundee United had a probability of 26.26% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (8.86%). The likeliest Dundee United win was 0-1 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.