Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 40.47%. A win for Dundee United had a probability of 31.58% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.26%) and 0-2 (7.66%). The likeliest Dundee United win was 1-0 (10.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Mirren would win this match.