Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 41.68%. A win for Istanbul Basaksehir had a probability of 34.79% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.05%) and 2-0 (5.85%). The likeliest Istanbul Basaksehir win was 1-2 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Istanbul Basaksehir would win this match.