Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 71.06%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Kayserispor had a probability of 10.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.17%) and 3-0 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.73%), while for a Kayserispor win it was 0-1 (4.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Istanbul Basaksehir in this match.